--- title: "Redline case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Redline ($15.52) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.49% from 4 items with odds, observed 110.67% over 675 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/227 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Redline](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/227) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Redline A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/227?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/227?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/227) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/227?window=all) Price · $15.52 · 24.45 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.49% · EV $13.43 from 4 items Observed RTP, 30d · 110.67% · 675 openings, odds method Variance · 8.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 74 openings · below min 7 days · 109.39% ±24.50 514 openings 30 days · 110.67% ±21.38 675 openings since tracking started · 110.67% ±21.38 675 openings 16.0% 81.3% 146.5% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 86.49% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (89.29% – 132.05%, 675 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/227?window=24h) | 74 | 81.07% ±64.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/227?window=7d) | 514 | 109.39% ±24.5 | +1.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/227) | 675 | 110.67% ±21.4 | +2.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/227?window=all) | 675 | 110.67% ±21.4 | +2.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 675 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $193 304 HUNT\_COIN | 71.9% | 49 | 33.8 | 1.45× | | [AWP \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $70.97 112 HUNT\_COIN | 26.4% | 28 | 33.8 | 0.83× | | [Sticker \| Red Shark Shooter sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-shark-shooter) | 45.0% | $0.26 0.41 HUNT\_COIN | 0.9% | 282 | 303.8 | 0.93× | | [Sticker \| Red Cyclawps sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-cyclawps) | 45.0% | $0.24 0.38 HUNT\_COIN | 0.8% | 316 | 303.8 | 1.04× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=227) [Sticker | Red Cyclawps sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-cyclawps) Hidden $15.52 24.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.24 0.38 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [Sticker | Red Cyclawps sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-cyclawps) Hidden $15.52 24.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.24 0.38 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [Sticker | Red Shark Shooter sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-shark-shooter) Hidden $15.52 24.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.26 0.41 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [Sticker | Red Shark Shooter sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-shark-shooter) Hidden $15.52 24.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.26 0.41 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [AWP | Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.52 24.45 HUNT\_COIN $70.97 112 HUNT\_COIN 4.57x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [Sticker | Red Shark Shooter sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-shark-shooter) [Hulk](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hulk) $15.52 24.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.26 0.41 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.52 24.45 HUNT\_COIN $193 304 HUNT\_COIN 12.44x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [Sticker | Red Cyclawps sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-cyclawps) Hidden $15.52 24.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.24 0.38 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [Sticker | Red Shark Shooter sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-shark-shooter) Hidden $15.52 24.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.26 0.41 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [Sticker | Red Shark Shooter sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-shark-shooter) Hidden $15.52 24.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.26 0.41 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $15.52 | 86.49% | 4 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 10.0% high 45.0% Rare 45.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.49 on average: an expected loss of $13.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt