--- title: "Sandbag Demon case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Sandbag Demon ($1.17) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.32% from 12 items with odds, observed 80.39% over 964 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/228 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Sandbag Demon](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/228) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Sandbag Demon A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/228?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/228?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/228) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/228?window=all) Price · $1.17 · 1.84 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.32% · EV $1.01 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 80.39% · 964 openings, odds method Variance · 3.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 51 openings · below min 7 days · 84.79% ±12.41 759 openings 30 days · 80.39% ±11.02 964 openings since tracking started · 80.39% ±11.02 964 openings 52.5% 101.3% 150.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/228?window=24h) | 51 | 101.21% ±47.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/228?window=7d) | 759 | 84.79% ±12.4 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/228) | 964 | 80.39% ±11.0 | −1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/228?window=all) | 964 | 80.39% ±11.0 | −1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 964 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $9.52 15 HUNT\_COIN | 9.4% | 10 | 9.6 | 1.04× | | [Glock-18 \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sand-dune-well-worn) | 1 in 80 | $8.19 12.9 HUNT\_COIN | 10.2% | 7 | 12.1 | 0.58× | | [M4A4 \| Tornado (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tornado-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $6.41 10.09 HUNT\_COIN | 9.5% | 13 | 14.5 | 0.90× | | [Glock-18 \| Glockingbird (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-field-tested) | 1 in 57 | $6.19 9.75 HUNT\_COIN | 10.7% | 18 | 16.9 | 1.07× | | [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Black Sand (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-black-sand-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $4.69 7.38 HUNT\_COIN | 11.6% | 23 | 24.1 | 0.95× | | [MAG-7 \| Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-sand-dune-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $3.86 6.08 HUNT\_COIN | 19.1% | 41 | 48.2 | 0.85× | | [SSG 08 \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sand-dune-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $3.46 5.45 HUNT\_COIN | 24.0% | 69 | 67.5 | 1.02× | | [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Black Sand (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-black-sand-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $0.25 0.4 HUNT\_COIN | 2.5% | 103 | 96.4 | 1.07× | | [Galil AR \| Black Sand (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-black-sand-well-worn) | 15.0% | $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN | 1.7% | 138 | 144.6 | 0.95× | | [Nova \| Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN | 0.4% | 162 | 144.6 | 1.12× | | [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN | 0.5% | 189 | 192.8 | 0.98× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) | 20.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 191 | 192.8 | 0.99× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=228) [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.17 1.84 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:24 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $1.17 1.84 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:24 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $1.17 1.84 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:24 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.17 1.84 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:24 UTC [StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-black-sand-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.17 1.84 HUNT\_COIN $0.25 0.4 HUNT\_COIN 0.22x 2026-11-11 12:24 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-minimal-wear) [kai](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/kai) $1.17 1.84 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:24 UTC [M4A4 | Tornado (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tornado-well-worn) Hidden $1.17 1.84 HUNT\_COIN $6.41 10.09 HUNT\_COIN 5.48x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $1.17 1.84 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [Galil AR | Black Sand (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-black-sand-well-worn) Hidden $1.17 1.84 HUNT\_COIN $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.17 1.84 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.17 | 86.32% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.0% industrial 2.8% #8847ff 1.8% Mil Spec 2.5% Common 5.0% Consumer Grade 7.0% milspec 25.0% consumer 55.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.32 on average: an expected loss of $13.68 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt