--- title: "Zero To Hero case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Zero To Hero ($467.41) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 8 items with odds, observed 173.46% over 24 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/231 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Zero To Hero](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/231) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Zero To Hero A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/231?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/231?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/231) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/231?window=all) Price · $467.41 · 736 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $404.31 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 173.46% · 24 openings, odds method Variance · 5.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 24 openings · below min 30 days · 24 openings · below min since tracking started · 24 openings · below min 80.5% 173.5% 266.5% **Small sample.** 24 openings and 2.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/231?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/231?window=7d) | 24 | 173.46% ±92.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/231) | 24 | 173.46% ±92.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/231?window=all) | 24 | 173.46% ±92.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 24 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 286 | $7,292 11,484 HUNT\_COIN | 6.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 87 | $4,333 6,825 HUNT\_COIN | 12.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $4,236 6,672 HUNT\_COIN | 26.2% | 3 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $2,597 4,091 HUNT\_COIN | 32.1% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.67× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $1,542 2,428 HUNT\_COIN | 22.9% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.69× | | [Sticker \| Fight like a Girl sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fight-like-a-girl) | 20.0% | $0.86 1.36 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 3 | 4.8 | 0.62× | | [Sticker \| Kawaii Killer Terrorist sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-killer-terrorist) | 25.0% | $0.81 1.27 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 5 | 6.0 | 0.83× | | [Sticker \| Kawaii Killer CT sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-killer-ct) | 40.0% | $0.81 1.27 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 10 | 9.6 | 1.04× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $467 736 HUNT\_COIN $4,236 6,672 HUNT\_COIN 9.06x 2026-11-07 18:11 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $467 736 HUNT\_COIN $4,236 6,672 HUNT\_COIN 9.06x 2026-11-07 18:11 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $467 736 HUNT\_COIN $4,236 6,672 HUNT\_COIN 9.06x 2026-11-07 18:09 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $467 736 HUNT\_COIN $2,597 4,091 HUNT\_COIN 5.56x 2026-11-07 18:11 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $467 736 HUNT\_COIN $2,597 4,091 HUNT\_COIN 5.56x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $467 736 HUNT\_COIN $1,542 2,428 HUNT\_COIN 3.30x 2026-11-07 18:13 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=231) [★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $467 736 HUNT\_COIN $1,542 2,428 HUNT\_COIN 3.30x 2026-11-07 18:13 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Killer Terrorist sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-killer-terrorist) Hidden $467 736 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.27 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 18:13 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Killer CT sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-killer-ct) Hidden $467 736 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.27 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 18:13 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Killer CT sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-killer-ct) Hidden $467 736 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.27 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 18:13 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Killer CT sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-killer-ct) Hidden $467 736 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.27 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 18:13 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Killer Terrorist sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-killer-terrorist) [Gremlin](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Gremlin) $467 736 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.27 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 18:13 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $467 736 HUNT\_COIN $4,236 6,672 HUNT\_COIN 9.06x 2026-11-07 18:11 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $467 736 HUNT\_COIN $4,236 6,672 HUNT\_COIN 9.06x 2026-11-07 18:11 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Killer CT sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-killer-ct) Hidden $467 736 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.27 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 18:11 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $467 736 HUNT\_COIN $2,597 4,091 HUNT\_COIN 5.56x 2026-11-07 18:11 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $467 | 86.50% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 15.0% Rare 85.0% best hit $4,236 (9.06x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt