--- title: "Zergy Boy case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Zergy Boy ($210.44) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 8 items with odds, observed 153.40% over 10 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/232 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Zergy Boy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/232) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Zergy Boy A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/232?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/232?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/232) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/232?window=all) Price · $210.44 · 331 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $182.03 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 153.40% · 10 openings, odds method Variance · 1.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 17.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 4 openings · below min 30 days · 10 openings · below min since tracking started · 10 openings · below min 12.0% 122.5% 233.0% **Small sample.** 10 openings and 1.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/232?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/232?window=7d) | 4 | 122.53% ±110.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/232) | 10 | 153.40% ±69.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/232?window=all) | 10 | 153.40% ±69.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 10 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $693 1,091 HUNT\_COIN | 28.5% | 3 | 0.8 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 10.0% | $472 744 HUNT\_COIN | 25.9% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× | | [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) | 10.0% | $404 636 HUNT\_COIN | 22.2% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 12.5% | $338 533 HUNT\_COIN | 23.2% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.60× | | [MP9 \| Dart (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dart-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $0.53 0.84 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× | | [MP9 \| Nexus (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-nexus-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.33 0.52 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× | | [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Bioleak (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-bioleak-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $0.26 0.41 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.33× | | [MP9 \| Pine (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pine-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $210 331 HUNT\_COIN $693 1,091 HUNT\_COIN 3.29x 2026-11-08 20:50 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $210 331 HUNT\_COIN $693 1,091 HUNT\_COIN 3.29x 2026-11-03 22:11 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $210 331 HUNT\_COIN $693 1,091 HUNT\_COIN 3.29x 2026-11-03 22:11 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=232) [StatTrak™ MP9 | Bioleak (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-bioleak-battle-scarred) Hidden $210 331 HUNT\_COIN $0.26 0.41 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 20:50 UTC [StatTrak™ MP9 | Bioleak (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-bioleak-battle-scarred) Hidden $210 331 HUNT\_COIN $0.26 0.41 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 20:50 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) Hidden $210 331 HUNT\_COIN $338 533 HUNT\_COIN 1.61x 2026-11-08 20:50 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $210 331 HUNT\_COIN $693 1,091 HUNT\_COIN 3.29x 2026-11-08 20:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $210 | 86.50% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed rare 7.5% covert 32.5% mil spec 15.0% Rare 15.0% other 15.0% #b0c3d9 15.0% best hit $693 (3.29x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt