--- title: "Winter Is Coming case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Winter Is Coming ($158.15) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 16 items with odds, observed 81.09% over 26 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/237 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Winter Is Coming](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/237) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Winter Is Coming A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/237?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/237?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/237) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/237?window=all) Price · $158.15 · 249 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $136.80 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 81.09% · 26 openings, odds method Variance · 5.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 22 openings · below min 30 days · 26 openings · below min since tracking started · 26 openings · below min -0.5% 91.3% 183.0% **Small sample.** 26 openings and 1.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/237?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/237?window=7d) | 22 | 80.48% ±101.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/237) | 26 | 81.09% ±93.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/237?window=all) | 26 | 81.09% ±93.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 26 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $5,903 9,297 HUNT\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $3,264 5,141 HUNT\_COIN | 6.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $2,332 3,672 HUNT\_COIN | 8.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $1,639 2,581 HUNT\_COIN | 9.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Cool Mint (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $1,249 1,967 HUNT\_COIN | 9.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-finish-line-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $1,111 1,750 HUNT\_COIN | 9.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-well-worn) | 1 in 45 | $655 1,032 HUNT\_COIN | 10.5% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $458 722 HUNT\_COIN | 8.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $390 615 HUNT\_COIN | 7.8% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $324 511 HUNT\_COIN | 7.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $264 416 HUNT\_COIN | 6.3% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Big Game (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game-well-worn) | 1 in 29 | $233 366 HUNT\_COIN | 6.0% | 2 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Boom! (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-boom-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $194 306 HUNT\_COIN | 5.7% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.92× | | [Sticker \| snow (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-snow-gold) | 25.0% | $6.39 10.07 HUNT\_COIN | 1.2% | 6 | 6.5 | 0.92× | | [Sticker \| Snowfall (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-snowfall-glitter) | 25.0% | $2.23 3.52 HUNT\_COIN | 0.4% | 5 | 6.5 | 0.77× | | [Sticker \| Blue Snowflake sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-snowflake) | 25.0% | $0 0 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 7 | 6.5 | 1.08× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-minimal-wear) Hidden $158 249 HUNT\_COIN $1,249 1,967 HUNT\_COIN 7.89x 2026-11-06 18:23 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-well-worn) Hidden $158 249 HUNT\_COIN $655 1,032 HUNT\_COIN 4.14x 2026-11-06 18:05 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=237) [Sticker | Blue Snowflake sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-snowflake) Hidden $158 249 HUNT\_COIN $0 0 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 03:08 UTC [Sticker | Blue Snowflake sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-snowflake) Hidden $158 249 HUNT\_COIN $0 0 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 03:08 UTC [Sticker | Snowfall (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-snowfall-glitter) Hidden $158 249 HUNT\_COIN $2.23 3.52 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 03:08 UTC [Sticker | Snowfall (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-snowfall-glitter) [fine shi](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/fine%20shi) $158 249 HUNT\_COIN $2.23 3.52 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 03:08 UTC [Sticker | Snowfall (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-snowfall-glitter) Hidden $158 249 HUNT\_COIN $2.23 3.52 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 03:08 UTC [Sticker | snow (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-snow-gold) Hidden $158 249 HUNT\_COIN $6.39 10.07 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-07 03:08 UTC [Sticker | snow (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-snow-gold) Hidden $158 249 HUNT\_COIN $6.39 10.07 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-07 03:08 UTC [Sticker | Snowfall (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-snowfall-glitter) Hidden $158 249 HUNT\_COIN $2.23 3.52 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 03:08 UTC [Sticker | Blue Snowflake sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-snowflake) Hidden $158 249 HUNT\_COIN $0 0 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 03:08 UTC [Sticker | Blue Snowflake sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-snowflake) [fine shi](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/fine%20shi) $158 249 HUNT\_COIN $0 0 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 03:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $158 | 86.50% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 22.3% epic 2.8% other 50.0% remarkable 25.0% best hit $1,249 (7.89x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt