--- title: "Weeb case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Weeb ($9.57) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.48% from 12 items with odds, observed 65.82% over 228 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/238 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Weeb](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/238) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Weeb A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/238?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/238?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/238) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/238?window=all) Price · $9.57 · 15.07 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.48% · EV $8.27 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 65.82% · 228 openings, odds method Variance · 2.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 13.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 34 openings · below min 7 days · 64.12% ±20.20 224 openings 30 days · 65.82% ±20.03 228 openings since tracking started · 65.82% ±20.03 228 openings 9.5% 62.0% 114.5% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 86.48% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (45.80% – 85.85%, 228 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/238?window=24h) | 34 | 62.08% ±51.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/238?window=7d) | 224 | 64.12% ±20.2 | −2.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/238) | 228 | 65.82% ±20.0 | −2.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/238?window=all) | 228 | 65.82% ±20.0 | −2.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 228 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $76.74 121 HUNT\_COIN | 9.3% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 80 | $54.17 85.32 HUNT\_COIN | 8.2% | 1 | 2.9 | 0.35× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $47.71 75.15 HUNT\_COIN | 8.6% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.17× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-dragon-king-minimal-wear) | 1 in 57 | $40.12 63.19 HUNT\_COIN | 8.5% | 6 | 4.0 | 1.50× | | [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-mount-fuji-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $35.90 56.55 HUNT\_COIN | 10.8% | 5 | 5.7 | 0.88× | | [MAC-10 \| Propaganda (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $32.64 51.41 HUNT\_COIN | 19.7% | 7 | 11.4 | 0.61× | | [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-kiss-love-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $24.01 37.81 HUNT\_COIN | 20.3% | 11 | 16.0 | 0.69× | | [Sticker \| Loving Eyes (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-loving-eyes-holo) | 10.0% | $4.06 6.4 HUNT\_COIN | 4.9% | 20 | 22.8 | 0.88× | | [Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-well-worn) | 15.0% | $1.65 2.6 HUNT\_COIN | 3.0% | 34 | 34.2 | 0.99× | | [Sticker \| Cheongsam sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cheongsam) | 15.0% | $1.30 2.05 HUNT\_COIN | 2.4% | 39 | 34.2 | 1.14× | | [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Sakkaku (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-sakkaku-well-worn) | 20.0% | $0.97 1.53 HUNT\_COIN | 2.3% | 55 | 45.6 | 1.21× | | [Sticker \| Kawaii Eyes (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-eyes-glitter) | 20.0% | $0.79 1.25 HUNT\_COIN | 1.9% | 46 | 45.6 | 1.01× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=238) [Sticker | Loving Eyes (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-loving-eyes-holo) [Sr.Calavera](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Sr.Calavera) $9.57 15.07 HUNT\_COIN $4.06 6.4 HUNT\_COIN 0.42x 2026-11-11 11:32 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Eyes (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-eyes-glitter) Hidden $9.57 15.07 HUNT\_COIN $0.79 1.25 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 11:32 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Eyes (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-eyes-glitter) Hidden $9.57 15.07 HUNT\_COIN $0.79 1.25 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 11:32 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Eyes (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-eyes-glitter) Hidden $9.57 15.07 HUNT\_COIN $0.79 1.25 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 11:32 UTC [MAC-10 | Propaganda (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-battle-scarred) Hidden $9.57 15.07 HUNT\_COIN $32.64 51.41 HUNT\_COIN 3.41x 2026-11-11 11:32 UTC [Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-well-worn) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $9.57 15.07 HUNT\_COIN $1.65 2.6 HUNT\_COIN 0.17x 2026-11-11 11:32 UTC [Sticker | Cheongsam sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cheongsam) [LEZAS](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/LEZAS) $9.57 15.07 HUNT\_COIN $1.30 2.05 HUNT\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [Sticker | Loving Eyes (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-loving-eyes-holo) Hidden $9.57 15.07 HUNT\_COIN $4.06 6.4 HUNT\_COIN 0.42x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-sakkaku-well-worn) Hidden $9.57 15.07 HUNT\_COIN $0.97 1.53 HUNT\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-sakkaku-well-worn) Hidden $9.57 15.07 HUNT\_COIN $0.97 1.53 HUNT\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $9.57 | 86.48% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 2.5% Classified 1.3% classified 13.8% restricted 22.5% #8847ff 45.0% Rare 15.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.48 on average: an expected loss of $13.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt