--- title: "Best 10% Overall case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Best 10% Overall ($0.27) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.77% from 5 items with odds, observed 104.48% over 1,533 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/24 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Best 10% Overall](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/24) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Best 10% Overall A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/24?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/24?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/24) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/24?window=all) Price · $0.27 · 0.43 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.77% · EV $0.24 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 104.48% · 1,533 openings, odds method Variance · 13.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 43 openings · below min 7 days · 90.08% ±19.71 1,358 openings 30 days · 104.48% ±18.55 1,533 openings since tracking started · 104.48% ±18.55 1,533 openings -0.5% 93.3% 187.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/24?window=24h) | 43 | 75.61% ±110.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/24?window=7d) | 1,358 | 90.08% ±19.7 | +0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/24) | 1,533 | 104.48% ±18.6 | +1.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/24?window=all) | 1,533 | 104.48% ±18.6 | +1.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,533 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $65.97 104 HUNT\_COIN | 2.8% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $3.73 5.88 HUNT\_COIN | 62.9% | 68 | 61.2 | 1.11× | | [Five-SeveN \| Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $1.50 2.37 HUNT\_COIN | 19.1% | 51 | 46.0 | 1.11× | | [MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $0.83 1.3 HUNT\_COIN | 10.5% | 28 | 46.0 | 0.61× | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) | 90.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 4.8% | 1,385 | 1379.7 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-field-tested) Hidden $0.27 0.43 HUNT\_COIN $65.97 104 HUNT\_COIN 241.7x 2026-11-04 05:18 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=24) [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.27 0.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 08:45 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.27 0.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 08:45 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.27 0.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 08:45 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.27 0.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 08:45 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.27 0.43 HUNT\_COIN $3.73 5.88 HUNT\_COIN 13.67x 2026-11-11 08:45 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) [KINGGING](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/KINGGING) $0.27 0.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 08:45 UTC [Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.27 0.43 HUNT\_COIN $1.50 2.37 HUNT\_COIN 5.51x 2026-11-11 08:45 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.27 0.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 08:45 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.27 0.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 08:45 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.27 0.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 08:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.27 | 86.77% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed pink 0.0% milspec 4.0% mil spec 3.0% violet 3.0% Consumer Grade 90.0% best hit $65.97 (241.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.77 on average: an expected loss of $13.23 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt