---
title: "Vortex case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Vortex ($92.36) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 8 items with odds, observed 88.19% over 101 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/240
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Vortex](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/240)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Vortex

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/240?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/240?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/240) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/240?window=all)

Price · $92.36 · 145 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $79.89 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.19% · 101 openings, odds method

Variance · 16.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 68 openings · below min

30 days · 101 openings · below min

since tracking started · 101 openings · below min

9.0% 116.8% 224.5%

**Small sample.** 101 openings and 3.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/240?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/240?window=7d) | 68 | 128.06% ±95.7 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/240) | 101 | 88.19% ±78.5 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/240?window=all) | 101 | 88.19% ±78.5 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 101 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $4,444 7,000 HUNT\_COIN | 11.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $3,172 4,996 HUNT\_COIN | 11.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $1,715 2,702 HUNT\_COIN | 21.5% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $1,389 2,187 HUNT\_COIN | 26.1% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $913 1,438 HUNT\_COIN | 22.9% | 2 | 2.0 | 0.99× |
| [Souvenir FAMAS \| Teardown (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-teardown-well-worn) | 30.0% | $8.19 12.9 HUNT\_COIN | 3.1% | 36 | 30.3 | 1.19× |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-well-worn) | 30.0% | $7.63 12.02 HUNT\_COIN | 2.9% | 30 | 30.3 | 0.99× |
| [Souvenir P90 \| Teardown (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-teardown-well-worn) | 35.0% | $1.40 2.21 HUNT\_COIN | 0.6% | 31 | 35.4 | 0.88× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) [Hulk](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hulk) $92.36 145 HUNT\_COIN $4,444 7,000 HUNT\_COIN 48.12x 2026-11-05 12:22 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $92.36 145 HUNT\_COIN $1,389 2,187 HUNT\_COIN 15.04x 2026-11-08 20:53 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-well-worn) Hidden $92.36 145 HUNT\_COIN $913 1,438 HUNT\_COIN 9.89x 2026-11-07 18:11 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-well-worn) [Sh\*t its Pan](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Sh*t%20its%20Pan-158856) $92.36 145 HUNT\_COIN $913 1,438 HUNT\_COIN 9.89x 2026-11-07 14:51 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=240)

[MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-well-worn) Hidden $92.36 145 HUNT\_COIN $7.63 12.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-09 22:09 UTC

[Souvenir P90 | Teardown (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-teardown-well-worn) Hidden $92.36 145 HUNT\_COIN $1.40 2.21 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 22:09 UTC

[Souvenir FAMAS | Teardown (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-teardown-well-worn) Hidden $92.36 145 HUNT\_COIN $8.19 12.9 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-09 22:09 UTC

[Souvenir P90 | Teardown (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-teardown-well-worn) [Ricki](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Ricki) $92.36 145 HUNT\_COIN $1.40 2.21 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 22:09 UTC

[Souvenir FAMAS | Teardown (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-teardown-well-worn) Hidden $92.36 145 HUNT\_COIN $8.19 12.9 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-08 20:53 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $92.36 145 HUNT\_COIN $1,389 2,187 HUNT\_COIN 15.04x 2026-11-08 20:53 UTC

[MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-well-worn) Hidden $92.36 145 HUNT\_COIN $7.63 12.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-08 20:53 UTC

[Souvenir FAMAS | Teardown (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-teardown-well-worn) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $92.36 145 HUNT\_COIN $8.19 12.9 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-08 20:53 UTC

[Souvenir FAMAS | Teardown (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-teardown-well-worn) Hidden $92.36 145 HUNT\_COIN $8.19 12.9 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-07 18:17 UTC

[Souvenir P90 | Teardown (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-teardown-well-worn) Hidden $92.36 145 HUNT\_COIN $1.40 2.21 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-07 18:17 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $92.36 | 86.50% | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 2.2% Covert 0.3% covert knife 2.5% mil spec 65.0% covert 30.0% best hit $4,444 (48.12x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt