--- title: "Shockwave case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Shockwave ($287.70) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 8 items with odds, observed 120.75% over 6 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/244 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Shockwave](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/244) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Shockwave A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/244?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/244?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/244) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/244?window=all) Price · $287.70 · 453 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $248.86 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 120.75% · 6 openings, odds method Variance · 0.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 25.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min 68.0% 120.8% 173.5% **Small sample.** 6 openings and 1.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/244?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/244?window=7d) | 6 | 120.75% ±52.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/244) | 6 | 120.75% ±52.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/244?window=all) | 6 | 120.75% ±52.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 12.5% | $557 877 HUNT\_COIN | 28.0% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-factory-new) | 12.5% | $451 711 HUNT\_COIN | 22.7% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 12.5% | $358 565 HUNT\_COIN | 18.0% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 12.5% | $312 492 HUNT\_COIN | 15.7% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Decimator (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-decimator-factory-new) | 12.5% | $158 249 HUNT\_COIN | 7.9% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Decimator (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) | 12.5% | $85.97 135 HUNT\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-factory-new) | 12.5% | $52.50 82.69 HUNT\_COIN | 2.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Pulse (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-pulse-factory-new) | 12.5% | $15.28 24.07 HUNT\_COIN | 0.8% | 1 | 0.8 | — | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) [dwiauhdas](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/dwiauhdas) $288 453 HUNT\_COIN $557 877 HUNT\_COIN 1.94x 2026-11-09 20:27 UTC [AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $288 453 HUNT\_COIN $557 877 HUNT\_COIN 1.94x 2026-11-08 20:50 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=244) [StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-factory-new) Hidden $288 453 HUNT\_COIN $52.50 82.69 HUNT\_COIN 0.18x 2026-11-09 20:27 UTC [AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) [dwiauhdas](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/dwiauhdas) $288 453 HUNT\_COIN $557 877 HUNT\_COIN 1.94x 2026-11-09 20:27 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Pulse (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-pulse-factory-new) Hidden $288 453 HUNT\_COIN $15.28 24.07 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-08 20:50 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-factory-new) Hidden $288 453 HUNT\_COIN $451 711 HUNT\_COIN 1.57x 2026-11-08 20:50 UTC [AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $288 453 HUNT\_COIN $557 877 HUNT\_COIN 1.94x 2026-11-08 20:50 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-factory-new) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $288 453 HUNT\_COIN $451 711 HUNT\_COIN 1.57x 2026-11-08 20:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $288 | 86.50% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 50.0% epic 12.5% classified 25.0% restricted 12.5% best hit $557 (1.94x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt