--- title: "Red Flag case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Red Flag ($96.42) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 8 items with odds, observed 88.33% over 108 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/247 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Red Flag](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/247) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Red Flag A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/247?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/247?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/247) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/247?window=all) Price · $96.42 · 152 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $83.40 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.33% · 108 openings, odds method Variance · 16.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 90 openings · below min 30 days · 108 openings · below min since tracking started · 108 openings · below min 12.5% 100.3% 188.0% **Small sample.** 108 openings and 3.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/247?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/247?window=7d) | 90 | 104.70% ±82.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/247) | 108 | 88.33% ±75.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/247?window=all) | 108 | 88.33% ±75.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 108 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $4,721 7,435 HUNT\_COIN | 11.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $2,875 4,528 HUNT\_COIN | 10.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $1,944 3,062 HUNT\_COIN | 23.3% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.93× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $1,417 2,231 HUNT\_COIN | 25.5% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $957 1,507 HUNT\_COIN | 22.9% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.93× | | [Sticker \| Gambit Gaming (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gambit-gaming-holo) | 30.0% | $8.53 13.44 HUNT\_COIN | 3.1% | 71 | 32.4 | 2.19× | | [Sticker \| Gambit Gaming (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gambit-gaming-holo) | 30.0% | $6.11 9.63 HUNT\_COIN | 2.2% | 71 | 32.4 | 2.19× | | [Sticker \| Gambit Gaming sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gambit-gaming) | 35.0% | $3.19 5.03 HUNT\_COIN | 1.3% | 33 | 37.8 | 0.87× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $96.42 152 HUNT\_COIN $4,721 7,435 HUNT\_COIN 48.96x 2026-11-07 23:18 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-battle-scarred) Hidden $96.42 152 HUNT\_COIN $1,944 3,062 HUNT\_COIN 20.16x 2026-11-07 19:41 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-factory-new) [Bigfoot](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Bigfoot) $96.42 152 HUNT\_COIN $957 1,507 HUNT\_COIN 9.92x 2026-11-07 23:18 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-factory-new) Hidden $96.42 152 HUNT\_COIN $957 1,507 HUNT\_COIN 9.92x 2026-11-07 18:09 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=247) [Sticker | Gambit Gaming sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gambit-gaming) Hidden $96.42 152 HUNT\_COIN $3.19 5.03 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-08 20:53 UTC [Sticker | Gambit Gaming (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gambit-gaming-holo) Hidden $96.42 152 HUNT\_COIN $8.53 13.44 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-08 20:53 UTC [Sticker | Gambit Gaming (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gambit-gaming-holo) Hidden $96.42 152 HUNT\_COIN $6.11 9.63 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-08 20:53 UTC [Sticker | Gambit Gaming sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gambit-gaming) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $96.42 152 HUNT\_COIN $3.19 5.03 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-08 20:53 UTC [Sticker | Gambit Gaming sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gambit-gaming) Hidden $96.42 152 HUNT\_COIN $3.19 5.03 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-08 01:45 UTC [Sticker | Gambit Gaming sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gambit-gaming) Hidden $96.42 152 HUNT\_COIN $3.19 5.03 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-08 01:45 UTC [Sticker | Gambit Gaming (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gambit-gaming-holo) Hidden $96.42 152 HUNT\_COIN $6.11 9.63 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-08 01:45 UTC [Sticker | Gambit Gaming (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gambit-gaming-holo) Hidden $96.42 152 HUNT\_COIN $6.11 9.63 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-08 01:45 UTC [Sticker | Gambit Gaming sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gambit-gaming) Hidden $96.42 152 HUNT\_COIN $3.19 5.03 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-08 01:45 UTC [Sticker | Gambit Gaming sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gambit-gaming) [Bigfoot](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Bigfoot) $96.42 152 HUNT\_COIN $3.19 5.03 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-08 01:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $96.42 | 86.50% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed contraband 0.2% extraordinary 3.3% covert 1.5% other 95.0% best hit $4,721 (48.96x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt