--- title: "50 50 Plugs case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "50 50 Plugs ($12.53) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.47% from 8 items with odds, observed 89.90% over 257 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/248 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [50 50 Plugs](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/248) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 50 50 Plugs A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/248?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/248?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/248) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/248?window=all) Price · $12.53 · 19.74 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.47% · EV $10.84 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.90% · 257 openings, odds method Variance · 0.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 37.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 34 openings · below min 7 days · 88.68% ±8.97 194 openings 30 days · 89.90% ±7.79 257 openings since tracking started · 89.90% ±7.79 257 openings 64.0% 86.0% 108.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/248?window=24h) | 34 | 86.09% ±21.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/248?window=7d) | 194 | 88.68% ±8.97 | +0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/248) | 257 | 89.90% ±7.79 | +0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/248?window=all) | 257 | 89.90% ±7.79 | +0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 257 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) | 12.5% | $23.61 37.19 HUNT\_COIN | 27.2% | 48 | 32.1 | 1.49× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) | 12.5% | $19.61 30.88 HUNT\_COIN | 22.6% | 23 | 32.1 | 0.72× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-phantom-disruptor-minimal-wear) | 12.5% | $16.51 26.01 HUNT\_COIN | 19.0% | 27 | 32.1 | 0.84× | | [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-minimal-wear) | 12.5% | $13.18 20.76 HUNT\_COIN | 15.2% | 30 | 32.1 | 0.93× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Duality (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-duality-well-worn) | 12.5% | $6.01 9.47 HUNT\_COIN | 6.9% | 37 | 32.1 | 1.15× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-minimal-wear) | 12.5% | $4.43 6.98 HUNT\_COIN | 5.1% | 36 | 32.1 | 1.12× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Torque (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-torque-field-tested) | 12.5% | $2.22 3.49 HUNT\_COIN | 2.6% | 23 | 32.1 | 0.72× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Weasel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-weasel-battle-scarred) | 12.5% | $1.12 1.77 HUNT\_COIN | 1.3% | 33 | 32.1 | 1.03× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=248) [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Weasel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-weasel-battle-scarred) Hidden $12.53 19.74 HUNT\_COIN $1.12 1.77 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) Hidden $12.53 19.74 HUNT\_COIN $23.61 37.19 HUNT\_COIN 1.88x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-duality-well-worn) Hidden $12.53 19.74 HUNT\_COIN $6.01 9.47 HUNT\_COIN 0.48x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) Hidden $12.53 19.74 HUNT\_COIN $23.61 37.19 HUNT\_COIN 1.88x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $12.53 19.74 HUNT\_COIN $23.61 37.19 HUNT\_COIN 1.88x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) [Sr.Calavera](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Sr.Calavera) $12.53 19.74 HUNT\_COIN $19.61 30.88 HUNT\_COIN 1.56x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) Hidden $12.53 19.74 HUNT\_COIN $23.61 37.19 HUNT\_COIN 1.88x 2026-11-11 07:58 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Weasel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-weasel-battle-scarred) Hidden $12.53 19.74 HUNT\_COIN $1.12 1.77 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-11 07:58 UTC [SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.53 19.74 HUNT\_COIN $13.18 20.76 HUNT\_COIN 1.05x 2026-11-11 07:58 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-duality-well-worn) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $12.53 19.74 HUNT\_COIN $6.01 9.47 HUNT\_COIN 0.48x 2026-11-11 07:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $12.53 | 86.47% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 37.5% Mil Spec Grade 12.5% classified 37.5% milspec 12.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.47 on average: an expected loss of $13.53 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt