---
title: "Gamma case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Gamma ($2,060.01) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 8 items with odds, observed 124.31% over 6 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/263
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:05Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Gamma](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/263)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Gamma

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/263?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/263?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/263) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/263?window=all)

Price · $2,060.01 · 3,245 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $1,781.90 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 124.31% · 6 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 25.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 62.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 6 openings · below min

30 days · 6 openings · below min

since tracking started · 6 openings · below min

56.5% 124.3% 192.0%

**Small sample.** 6 openings and 1.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/263?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/263?window=7d) | 6 | 124.31% ±67.0 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/263) | 6 | 124.31% ±67.0 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/263?window=all) | 6 | 124.31% ±67.0 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 12.5% | $4,507 7,098 HUNT\_COIN | 31.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 12.5% | $4,394 6,921 HUNT\_COIN | 30.8% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 12.5% | $2,747 4,327 HUNT\_COIN | 19.3% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 12.5% | $1,097 1,728 HUNT\_COIN | 7.7% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 12.5% | $776 1,223 HUNT\_COIN | 5.4% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 12.5% | $472 743 HUNT\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 12.5% | $193 304 HUNT\_COIN | 1.4% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-battle-scarred) | 12.5% | $69.30 109 HUNT\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.8 | — |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Gremlin](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Gremlin) $2,060 3,245 HUNT\_COIN $4,507 7,098 HUNT\_COIN 2.19x 2026-11-06 18:37 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $2,060 3,245 HUNT\_COIN $4,394 6,921 HUNT\_COIN 2.13x 2026-11-06 18:37 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $2,060 3,245 HUNT\_COIN $2,747 4,327 HUNT\_COIN 1.33x 2026-11-06 18:37 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $2,060 3,245 HUNT\_COIN $2,747 4,327 HUNT\_COIN 1.33x 2026-11-06 18:37 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $2,060 3,245 HUNT\_COIN $776 1,223 HUNT\_COIN 0.38x 2026-11-06 18:37 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=263)

[★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $2,060 3,245 HUNT\_COIN $193 304 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-06 18:37 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $2,060 3,245 HUNT\_COIN $2,747 4,327 HUNT\_COIN 1.33x 2026-11-06 18:37 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $2,060 3,245 HUNT\_COIN $2,747 4,327 HUNT\_COIN 1.33x 2026-11-06 18:37 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $2,060 3,245 HUNT\_COIN $776 1,223 HUNT\_COIN 0.38x 2026-11-06 18:37 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $2,060 3,245 HUNT\_COIN $4,394 6,921 HUNT\_COIN 2.13x 2026-11-06 18:37 UTC

[★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Gremlin](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Gremlin) $2,060 3,245 HUNT\_COIN $4,507 7,098 HUNT\_COIN 2.19x 2026-11-06 18:37 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2,060 | 86.50% | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed #ffd700 37.5% gold 25.0% sunny 12.5% Covert 12.5% covert 12.5% best hit $4,507 (2.19x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
