---
title: "I'm at the beach case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "I'm at the beach ($962.08) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 8 items with odds, observed 129.46% over 12 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/267
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [I'm at the beach](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/267)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · I'm at the beach

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/267?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/267?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/267) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/267?window=all)

Price · $962.08 · 1,515 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $832.20 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 129.46% · 12 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 12 openings · below min

30 days · 12 openings · below min

since tracking started · 12 openings · below min

39.0% 129.3% 219.5%

**Small sample.** 12 openings and 0.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/267?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/267?window=7d) | 12 | 129.46% ±89.6 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/267) | 12 | 129.46% ±89.6 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/267?window=all) | 12 | 129.46% ±89.6 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $5,903 9,297 HUNT\_COIN | 53.2% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 12.5% | $1,229 1,936 HUNT\_COIN | 18.5% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× |
| [★ Karambit \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-bright-water-factory-new) | 12.5% | $1,012 1,595 HUNT\_COIN | 15.2% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-bright-water-factory-new) | 12.5% | $816 1,285 HUNT\_COIN | 12.3% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× |
| [Glock-18 \| Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sand-dune-minimal-wear) | 12.5% | $21.25 33.47 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [Souvenir Nova \| Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) | 12.5% | $20.12 31.69 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sand-dune-minimal-wear) | 12.5% | $11.66 18.37 HUNT\_COIN | 0.2% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× |
| [MAG-7 \| Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-sand-dune-minimal-wear) | 17.5% | $3.86 6.08 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.43× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) [DameTime](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DameTime) $962 1,515 HUNT\_COIN $5,903 9,297 HUNT\_COIN 6.14x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) Hidden $962 1,515 HUNT\_COIN $5,903 9,297 HUNT\_COIN 6.14x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-factory-new) Hidden $962 1,515 HUNT\_COIN $1,229 1,936 HUNT\_COIN 1.28x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC

[★ Karambit | Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-bright-water-factory-new) Hidden $962 1,515 HUNT\_COIN $1,012 1,595 HUNT\_COIN 1.05x 2026-11-06 18:29 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-bright-water-factory-new) Hidden $962 1,515 HUNT\_COIN $816 1,285 HUNT\_COIN 0.85x 2026-11-06 18:29 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=267)

[MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $962 1,515 HUNT\_COIN $3.86 6.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 18:29 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-bright-water-factory-new) Hidden $962 1,515 HUNT\_COIN $816 1,285 HUNT\_COIN 0.85x 2026-11-06 18:29 UTC

[★ Karambit | Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-bright-water-factory-new) Hidden $962 1,515 HUNT\_COIN $1,012 1,595 HUNT\_COIN 1.05x 2026-11-06 18:29 UTC

[Souvenir Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $962 1,515 HUNT\_COIN $20.12 31.69 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-06 18:29 UTC

[Souvenir Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $962 1,515 HUNT\_COIN $20.12 31.69 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-06 18:29 UTC

[SSG 08 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sand-dune-minimal-wear) [Gremlin](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Gremlin) $962 1,515 HUNT\_COIN $11.66 18.37 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-06 18:29 UTC

[MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $962 1,515 HUNT\_COIN $3.86 6.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) Hidden $962 1,515 HUNT\_COIN $5,903 9,297 HUNT\_COIN 6.14x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-factory-new) Hidden $962 1,515 HUNT\_COIN $1,229 1,936 HUNT\_COIN 1.28x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC

[MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $962 1,515 HUNT\_COIN $3.86 6.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $962 | 86.50% | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 7.5% covert 37.5% industrial 12.5% Consumer Grade 25.0% Common 17.5% best hit $5,903 (6.14x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt