--- title: "Green Flag case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Green Flag ($4,026.17) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 8 items with odds, observed 43.05% over 12 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/268 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:01Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Green Flag](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/268) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Green Flag A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/268?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/268?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/268) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/268?window=all) Price · $4,026.17 · 6,341 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $3,482.64 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 43.05% · 12 openings, odds method Variance · 1.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 12 openings · below min 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min -0.5% 60.5% 121.5% **Small sample.** 12 openings and 2.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/268?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/268?window=7d) | 12 | 43.05% ±77.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/268) | 12 | 43.05% ±77.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/268?window=all) | 12 | 43.05% ±77.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 10.0% | $17.4K 27,343 HUNT\_COIN | 49.8% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) | 10.0% | $9,151 14,413 HUNT\_COIN | 26.3% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 10.0% | $6,389 10,062 HUNT\_COIN | 18.3% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-factory-new) | 12.5% | $833 1,312 HUNT\_COIN | 3.0% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.33× | | [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-factory-new) | 12.5% | $526 829 HUNT\_COIN | 1.9% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.00× | | [AWP \| Green Energy (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-minimal-wear) | 12.5% | $103 162 HUNT\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) | 15.0% | $61.11 96.25 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.67× | | [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) | 17.5% | $3.43 5.41 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.43× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) [Gremlin](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Gremlin) $4,026 6,341 HUNT\_COIN $17.4K 27,343 HUNT\_COIN 4.31x 2026-11-06 18:31 UTC [P250 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-factory-new) Hidden $4,026 6,341 HUNT\_COIN $833 1,312 HUNT\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-06 18:31 UTC [P250 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-factory-new) Hidden $4,026 6,341 HUNT\_COIN $833 1,312 HUNT\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-06 18:30 UTC [Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-factory-new) Hidden $4,026 6,341 HUNT\_COIN $526 829 HUNT\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-06 18:30 UTC [Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-factory-new) Hidden $4,026 6,341 HUNT\_COIN $526 829 HUNT\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-06 18:30 UTC [Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-factory-new) Hidden $4,026 6,341 HUNT\_COIN $526 829 HUNT\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-06 18:30 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=268) [★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) Hidden $4,026 6,341 HUNT\_COIN $61.11 96.25 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-06 18:31 UTC [AK-47 | Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) Hidden $4,026 6,341 HUNT\_COIN $3.43 5.41 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 18:31 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) Hidden $4,026 6,341 HUNT\_COIN $61.11 96.25 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-06 18:31 UTC [P250 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-factory-new) Hidden $4,026 6,341 HUNT\_COIN $833 1,312 HUNT\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-06 18:31 UTC [AK-47 | Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) Hidden $4,026 6,341 HUNT\_COIN $3.43 5.41 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 18:31 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) [Gremlin](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Gremlin) $4,026 6,341 HUNT\_COIN $17.4K 27,343 HUNT\_COIN 4.31x 2026-11-06 18:31 UTC [Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-factory-new) Hidden $4,026 6,341 HUNT\_COIN $526 829 HUNT\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-06 18:30 UTC [P250 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-factory-new) Hidden $4,026 6,341 HUNT\_COIN $833 1,312 HUNT\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-06 18:30 UTC [Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-factory-new) Hidden $4,026 6,341 HUNT\_COIN $526 829 HUNT\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-06 18:30 UTC [Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-factory-new) Hidden $4,026 6,341 HUNT\_COIN $526 829 HUNT\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-06 18:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $4,026 | 86.50% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 20.0% epic 10.0% restricted 25.0% #d32ce6 12.5% extraordinary 15.0% #4b69ff 17.5% best hit $17.4K (4.31x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt