---
title: "Saint Amirey case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Saint Amirey ($1,327.49) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 5 items with odds, observed 136.60% over 6 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/270
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Saint Amirey](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/270)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Saint Amirey

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/270?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/270?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/270) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/270?window=all)

Price · $1,327.49 · 2,091 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $1,148.28 from 5 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 136.60% · 6 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 25.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 6 openings · below min

30 days · 6 openings · below min

since tracking started · 6 openings · below min

61.0% 136.8% 212.5%

**Small sample.** 6 openings and 1.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/270?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/270?window=7d) | 6 | 136.60% ±75.1 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/270) | 6 | 136.60% ±75.1 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/270?window=all) | 6 | 136.60% ±75.1 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-factory-new) | 12.5% | $3,471 5,466 HUNT\_COIN | 37.8% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 12.5% | $2,597 4,091 HUNT\_COIN | 28.3% | 3 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 15.0% | $1,543 2,430 HUNT\_COIN | 20.2% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 15.0% | $1,048 1,651 HUNT\_COIN | 13.7% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [Sticker \| Unicorn (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-unicorn-holo) | 45.0% | $2.43 3.82 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [DameTime](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DameTime) $1,327 2,091 HUNT\_COIN $2,597 4,091 HUNT\_COIN 1.96x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,327 2,091 HUNT\_COIN $2,597 4,091 HUNT\_COIN 1.96x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,327 2,091 HUNT\_COIN $2,597 4,091 HUNT\_COIN 1.96x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,327 2,091 HUNT\_COIN $1,543 2,430 HUNT\_COIN 1.16x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,327 2,091 HUNT\_COIN $1,543 2,430 HUNT\_COIN 1.16x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=270)

[Sticker | Unicorn (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-unicorn-holo) Hidden $1,327 2,091 HUNT\_COIN $2.43 3.82 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,327 2,091 HUNT\_COIN $1,543 2,430 HUNT\_COIN 1.16x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,327 2,091 HUNT\_COIN $1,543 2,430 HUNT\_COIN 1.16x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,327 2,091 HUNT\_COIN $2,597 4,091 HUNT\_COIN 1.96x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,327 2,091 HUNT\_COIN $2,597 4,091 HUNT\_COIN 1.96x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [DameTime](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DameTime) $1,327 2,091 HUNT\_COIN $2,597 4,091 HUNT\_COIN 1.96x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1,327 | 86.50% | 5 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 12.5% covert 27.5% gold 15.0% Mythical 45.0% best hit $2,597 (1.96x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
