---
title: "Taste of Purple case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Taste of Purple ($2,579.54) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 8 items with odds, observed 65.04% over 24 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/271
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Taste of Purple](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/271)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Taste of Purple

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/271?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/271?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/271) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/271?window=all)

Price · $2,579.54 · 4,063 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $2,231.30 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 65.04% · 24 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 12.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 24 openings · below min

30 days · 24 openings · below min

since tracking started · 24 openings · below min

-0.5% 66.5% 133.5%

**Small sample.** 24 openings and 3.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/271?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/271?window=7d) | 24 | 65.04% ±68.0 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/271) | 24 | 65.04% ±68.0 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/271?window=all) | 24 | 65.04% ±68.0 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 24 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) | 12.5% | $13.5K 21,218 HUNT\_COIN | 75.5% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× |
| [MP9 \| Wild Lily (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-factory-new) | 12.5% | $3,333 5,250 HUNT\_COIN | 18.7% | 3 | 3.0 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 12.5% | $964 1,518 HUNT\_COIN | 5.4% | 3 | 3.0 | 1.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-factory-new) | 12.5% | $56.95 89.69 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 6 | 3.0 | 2.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) | 12.5% | $19.26 30.34 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.33× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-battle-scarred) | 12.5% | $2.10 3.31 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× |
| [Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-factory-new) | 12.5% | $1.61 2.53 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× |
| [UMP-45 \| Moonrise (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-moonrise-factory-new) | 12.5% | $1.37 2.16 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) Hidden $2,580 4,063 HUNT\_COIN $13.5K 21,218 HUNT\_COIN 5.22x 2026-11-06 18:36 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) Hidden $2,580 4,063 HUNT\_COIN $13.5K 21,218 HUNT\_COIN 5.22x 2026-11-06 18:36 UTC

[MP9 | Wild Lily (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-factory-new) Hidden $2,580 4,063 HUNT\_COIN $3,333 5,250 HUNT\_COIN 1.29x 2026-11-06 18:36 UTC

[MP9 | Wild Lily (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-factory-new) Hidden $2,580 4,063 HUNT\_COIN $3,333 5,250 HUNT\_COIN 1.29x 2026-11-06 18:36 UTC

[MP9 | Wild Lily (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-factory-new) Hidden $2,580 4,063 HUNT\_COIN $3,333 5,250 HUNT\_COIN 1.29x 2026-11-06 18:30 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $2,580 4,063 HUNT\_COIN $964 1,518 HUNT\_COIN 0.37x 2026-11-06 18:36 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $2,580 4,063 HUNT\_COIN $964 1,518 HUNT\_COIN 0.37x 2026-11-06 18:36 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $2,580 4,063 HUNT\_COIN $964 1,518 HUNT\_COIN 0.37x 2026-11-06 18:36 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=271)

[StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $2,580 4,063 HUNT\_COIN $964 1,518 HUNT\_COIN 0.37x 2026-11-06 18:36 UTC

[Glock-18 | Moonrise (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-factory-new) Hidden $2,580 4,063 HUNT\_COIN $1.61 2.53 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 18:36 UTC

[M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $2,580 4,063 HUNT\_COIN $19.26 30.34 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-06 18:36 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) Hidden $2,580 4,063 HUNT\_COIN $13.5K 21,218 HUNT\_COIN 5.22x 2026-11-06 18:36 UTC

[MP9 | Wild Lily (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-factory-new) Hidden $2,580 4,063 HUNT\_COIN $3,333 5,250 HUNT\_COIN 1.29x 2026-11-06 18:36 UTC

[AK-47 | Midnight Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-factory-new) [Gremlin](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Gremlin) $2,580 4,063 HUNT\_COIN $56.95 89.69 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-06 18:36 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $2,580 4,063 HUNT\_COIN $964 1,518 HUNT\_COIN 0.37x 2026-11-06 18:36 UTC

[M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $2,580 4,063 HUNT\_COIN $19.26 30.34 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-06 18:36 UTC

[MP9 | Wild Lily (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-factory-new) Hidden $2,580 4,063 HUNT\_COIN $3,333 5,250 HUNT\_COIN 1.29x 2026-11-06 18:36 UTC

[UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-moonrise-factory-new) Hidden $2,580 4,063 HUNT\_COIN $1.37 2.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 18:36 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2,580 | 86.50% | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 12.5% classified 12.5% covert 12.5% Mythical 12.5% pink 25.0% restricted 25.0% best hit $13.5K (5.22x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt