--- title: "D Lore Flip case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "D Lore Flip ($4,271.59) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 3 items with odds, observed 43.47% over 6 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/273 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [D Lore Flip](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/273) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · D Lore Flip A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/273?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/273?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/273) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/273?window=all) Price · $4,271.59 · 6,728 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $3,694.93 from 3 items Observed RTP, 30d · 43.47% · 6 openings, odds method Variance · 0.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 59.5% 119.5% **Small sample.** 6 openings and 1.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/273?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/273?window=7d) | 6 | 43.47% ±75.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/273) | 6 | 43.47% ±75.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/273?window=all) | 6 | 43.47% ±75.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 3 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $10.1K 15,944 HUNT\_COIN | 54.8% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 30.0% | $5,555 8,749 HUNT\_COIN | 45.1% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.11× | | [Sticker \| Dragon Lore (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dragon-lore-foil) | 50.0% | $7.58 11.94 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.33× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $4,272 6,728 HUNT\_COIN $5,555 8,749 HUNT\_COIN 1.30x 2026-11-06 18:31 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $4,272 6,728 HUNT\_COIN $5,555 8,749 HUNT\_COIN 1.30x 2026-11-06 18:31 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=273) [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $4,272 6,728 HUNT\_COIN $5,555 8,749 HUNT\_COIN 1.30x 2026-11-06 18:31 UTC [Sticker | Dragon Lore (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dragon-lore-foil) Hidden $4,272 6,728 HUNT\_COIN $7.58 11.94 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 18:31 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $4,272 6,728 HUNT\_COIN $5,555 8,749 HUNT\_COIN 1.30x 2026-11-06 18:31 UTC [Sticker | Dragon Lore (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dragon-lore-foil) Hidden $4,272 6,728 HUNT\_COIN $7.58 11.94 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 18:31 UTC [Sticker | Dragon Lore (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dragon-lore-foil) Hidden $4,272 6,728 HUNT\_COIN $7.58 11.94 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 18:31 UTC [Sticker | Dragon Lore (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dragon-lore-foil) [Gremlin](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Gremlin) $4,272 6,728 HUNT\_COIN $7.58 11.94 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 18:31 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $4,272 | 86.50% | 3 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 20.0% covert 30.0% exotic 50.0% best hit $5,555 (1.30x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt