---
title: "Seeing Red case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Seeing Red ($1,709.77) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 8 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/274
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:06Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Seeing Red](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/274)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Seeing Red

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/274?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/274?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/274) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/274?window=all)

Price · $1,709.77 · 2,693 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $1,478.95 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 2.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/274?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/274?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/274) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/274?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $10.3K 16,163 HUNT\_COIN | 34.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| LGB eSports (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo) | 1 in 20 | $6,667 10,500 HUNT\_COIN | 22.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| mousesports (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-holo) | 1 in 20 | $4,305 6,781 HUNT\_COIN | 14.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| 3DMAX (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo) | 1 in 20 | $3,722 5,862 HUNT\_COIN | 12.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1,509 2,377 HUNT\_COIN | 10.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-hot-rod-factory-new) | 12.5% | $444 700 HUNT\_COIN | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hot-rod-factory-new) | 12.5% | $193 304 HUNT\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Seeing Red sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-seeing-red) | 45.0% | $1.11 1.75 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=274)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1,710 | 86.50% | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed contraband 5.0% other 15.0% classified 10.0% mil spec 25.0% Rare 45.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt