---
title: "Blade case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Blade ($1,811.82) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 8 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/275
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Blade](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/275)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Blade

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/275?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/275?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/275) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/275?window=all)

Price · $1,811.82 · 2,854 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $1,567.23 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 22.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/275?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/275?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/275) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/275?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $5,972 9,406 HUNT\_COIN | 28.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $2,747 4,327 HUNT\_COIN | 13.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $2,622 4,130 HUNT\_COIN | 12.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $2,291 3,609 HUNT\_COIN | 11.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1,993 3,139 HUNT\_COIN | 12.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1,542 2,428 HUNT\_COIN | 9.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 12.5% | $1,528 2,406 HUNT\_COIN | 12.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Knife Club sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-knife-club) | 37.5% | $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=275)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1,812 | 86.50% | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 42.5% #ffd700 7.5% Covert 12.5% High Grade 37.5%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt