--- title: "Baby Medusa case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Baby Medusa ($788.85) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 8 items with odds, observed 104.05% over 12 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/278 rendered: 2026-11-11T22:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Baby Medusa](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/278) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Baby Medusa A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/278?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/278?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/278) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/278?window=all) Price · $788.85 · 1,242 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $682.36 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 104.05% · 12 openings, odds method Variance · 1.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 12 openings · below min 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min 38.0% 104.0% 170.0% **Small sample.** 12 openings and 2.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/278?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/278?window=7d) | 12 | 104.05% ±65.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/278) | 12 | 104.05% ±65.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/278?window=all) | 12 | 104.05% ±65.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $2,778 4,375 HUNT\_COIN | 40.7% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Snakebite (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1,806 2,844 HUNT\_COIN | 26.5% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.50× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $1,292 2,034 HUNT\_COIN | 18.9% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.67× | | [Souvenir AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $525 826 HUNT\_COIN | 7.7% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.50× | | [MAC-10 \| Hot Snakes (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-hot-snakes-factory-new) | 10.0% | $250 394 HUNT\_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [AWP \| Snake Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-snake-camo-field-tested) | 10.0% | $103 162 HUNT\_COIN | 1.5% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.67× | | [Souvenir Sawed-Off \| Snake Camo (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-snake-camo-factory-new) | 10.0% | $69.44 109 HUNT\_COIN | 1.0% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× | | [Sticker \| Baby Medusa sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-medusa) | 30.0% | $0.57 0.9 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 3.6 | 0.28× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 20:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-factory-new) [Calvin](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Calvin) $789 1,242 HUNT\_COIN $1,806 2,844 HUNT\_COIN 2.29x 2026-11-05 02:16 UTC [★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-factory-new) Hidden $789 1,242 HUNT\_COIN $1,806 2,844 HUNT\_COIN 2.29x 2026-11-05 02:16 UTC [★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-factory-new) Hidden $789 1,242 HUNT\_COIN $1,806 2,844 HUNT\_COIN 2.29x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-minimal-wear) Hidden $789 1,242 HUNT\_COIN $1,292 2,034 HUNT\_COIN 1.64x 2026-11-05 02:16 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-minimal-wear) Hidden $789 1,242 HUNT\_COIN $1,292 2,034 HUNT\_COIN 1.64x 2026-11-05 02:16 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) Hidden $789 1,242 HUNT\_COIN $525 826 HUNT\_COIN 0.67x 2026-11-05 02:16 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) [DameTime](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DameTime) $789 1,242 HUNT\_COIN $525 826 HUNT\_COIN 0.67x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) Hidden $789 1,242 HUNT\_COIN $525 826 HUNT\_COIN 0.67x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=278) [AWP | Snake Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-snake-camo-field-tested) Hidden $789 1,242 HUNT\_COIN $103 162 HUNT\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-05 02:16 UTC [★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-factory-new) Hidden $789 1,242 HUNT\_COIN $1,806 2,844 HUNT\_COIN 2.29x 2026-11-05 02:16 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) Hidden $789 1,242 HUNT\_COIN $525 826 HUNT\_COIN 0.67x 2026-11-05 02:16 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-minimal-wear) Hidden $789 1,242 HUNT\_COIN $1,292 2,034 HUNT\_COIN 1.64x 2026-11-05 02:16 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-minimal-wear) Hidden $789 1,242 HUNT\_COIN $1,292 2,034 HUNT\_COIN 1.64x 2026-11-05 02:16 UTC [★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-factory-new) [Calvin](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Calvin) $789 1,242 HUNT\_COIN $1,806 2,844 HUNT\_COIN 2.29x 2026-11-05 02:16 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-snake-camo-factory-new) Hidden $789 1,242 HUNT\_COIN $69.44 109 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC [Sticker | Baby Medusa sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-medusa) Hidden $789 1,242 HUNT\_COIN $0.57 0.9 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC [★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-factory-new) Hidden $789 1,242 HUNT\_COIN $1,806 2,844 HUNT\_COIN 2.29x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC [AWP | Snake Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-snake-camo-field-tested) Hidden $789 1,242 HUNT\_COIN $103 162 HUNT\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $789 | 86.50% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 10.0% Extraordinary 10.0% extraordinary 10.0% restricted 10.0% classified 10.0% mil spec 10.0% Industrial Grade 10.0% high 30.0% best hit $1,806 (2.29x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt