--- title: "Hot Wallet case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Hot Wallet ($2,112.79) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 8 items with odds, observed 31.78% over 6 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/279 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Hot Wallet](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/279) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Hot Wallet A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/279?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/279?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/279) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/279?window=all) Price · $2,112.79 · 3,328 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $1,827.56 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 31.78% · 6 openings, odds method Variance · 2.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.8% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 77.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 81.0% 162.5% **Small sample.** 6 openings and 0.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/279?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/279?window=7d) | 6 | 31.78% ±129.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/279) | 6 | 31.78% ±129.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/279?window=all) | 6 | 31.78% ±129.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $12.8K 20,125 HUNT\_COIN | 17.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $11.9K 18,788 HUNT\_COIN | 16.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $10.3K 16,163 HUNT\_COIN | 15.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $6,389 10,062 HUNT\_COIN | 17.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $5,555 8,750 HUNT\_COIN | 15.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $4,028 6,344 HUNT\_COIN | 11.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $1,290 2,032 HUNT\_COIN | 7.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Sticker \| Hot Rod Heat sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hot-rod-heat) | 67.3% | $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 5 | 4.0 | 1.24× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $2,113 3,328 HUNT\_COIN $4,028 6,344 HUNT\_COIN 1.91x 2026-11-06 18:37 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=279) [Sticker | Hot Rod Heat sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hot-rod-heat) Hidden $2,113 3,328 HUNT\_COIN $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 18:37 UTC [Sticker | Hot Rod Heat sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hot-rod-heat) Hidden $2,113 3,328 HUNT\_COIN $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 18:37 UTC [Sticker | Hot Rod Heat sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hot-rod-heat) Hidden $2,113 3,328 HUNT\_COIN $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 18:37 UTC [Sticker | Hot Rod Heat sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hot-rod-heat) Hidden $2,113 3,328 HUNT\_COIN $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 18:37 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $2,113 3,328 HUNT\_COIN $4,028 6,344 HUNT\_COIN 1.91x 2026-11-06 18:37 UTC [Sticker | Hot Rod Heat sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hot-rod-heat) [Gremlin](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Gremlin) $2,113 3,328 HUNT\_COIN $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 18:37 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2,113 | 86.50% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 25.0% contraband 2.8% legendary 5.0% #4b69ff 67.3% best hit $4,028 (1.91x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt