--- title: "5% I like men case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5% I like men ($4.15) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.35% from 8 items with odds, observed 72.02% over 494 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/31 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [5% I like men](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/31) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 5% I like men A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/31?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/31?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/31) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/31?window=all) Price · $4.15 · 6.53 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.35% · EV $3.62 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 72.02% · 494 openings, odds method Variance · 15.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 44 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 72.89% ±34.92 488 openings 30 days · 72.02% ±34.71 494 openings since tracking started · 72.02% ±34.71 494 openings 36.5% 72.5% 108.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/31?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/31?window=7d) | 488 | 72.89% ±34.9 | −0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/31) | 494 | 72.02% ±34.7 | −0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/31?window=all) | 494 | 72.02% ±34.7 | −0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 494 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $128 202 HUNT\_COIN | 17.7% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.40× | | [P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 133 | $79.17 125 HUNT\_COIN | 16.4% | 3 | 3.7 | 0.81× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $77.78 123 HUNT\_COIN | 21.5% | 3 | 4.9 | 0.61× | | [AWP \| Redline (Well-Worn) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 80 | $59.70 94.02 HUNT\_COIN | 20.6% | 7 | 6.2 | 1.13× | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $54.72 86.19 HUNT\_COIN | 22.7% | 8 | 7.4 | 1.08× | | [Sticker \| Fly High sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fly-high) | 10.0% | $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 48 | 49.4 | 0.97× | | [Sticker \| Monster sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-monster) | 40.0% | $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN | 0.7% | 199 | 197.6 | 1.01× | | [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) | 45.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.2% | 225 | 222.3 | 1.01× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=31) [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $4.15 6.53 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 09:11 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $4.15 6.53 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 09:11 UTC [Sticker | Monster sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-monster) Hidden $4.15 6.53 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 09:11 UTC [Sticker | Fly High sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fly-high) Hidden $4.15 6.53 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 09:11 UTC [Sticker | Monster sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-monster) Hidden $4.15 6.53 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 09:11 UTC [Sticker | Monster sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-monster) [India4life4416](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/India4life4416) $4.15 6.53 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 09:11 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $4.15 6.53 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 16:54 UTC [Sticker | Monster sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-monster) Hidden $4.15 6.53 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 16:54 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $4.15 6.53 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 16:54 UTC [Sticker | Monster sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-monster) [Kirua](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Kirua) $4.15 6.53 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 16:54 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $4.15 | 87.35% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 0.5% restricted 0.8% covert 1.0% Legendary 2.8% #4b69ff 10.0% High Grade 40.0% other 45.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.35 on average: an expected loss of $12.65 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt