--- title: "Best Case Ever case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Best Case Ever ($5.09) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.32% from 7 items with odds, observed 24.10% over 90 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/340 rendered: 2026-11-11T20:44Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Best Case Ever](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/340) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Best Case Ever A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/340?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/340?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/340) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/340?window=all) Price · $5.09 · 8.02 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.32% · EV $4.45 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 24.10% · 90 openings, odds method Variance · 28.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 94.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 72 openings · below min 30 days · 90 openings · below min since tracking started · 90 openings · below min -0.5% 304.8% 610.0% **Small sample.** 90 openings and 5.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/340?window=24h) | 6 | 179.09% ±430.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/340?window=7d) | 72 | 30.06% ±124.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/340) | 90 | 24.10% ±111.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/340?window=all) | 90 | 24.10% ±111.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 90 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $2,546 4,010 HUNT\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,667 | $679 1,069 HUNT\_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,333 | $329 518 HUNT\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $140 221 HUNT\_COIN | 31.5% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $54.65 86.08 HUNT\_COIN | 60.8% | 2 | 4.5 | 0.45× | | [Souvenir PP-Bizon \| Anolis (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-anolis-field-tested) | 90.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 86 | 81.0 | 1.06× | | [P90 \| Sand Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 2 | 3.6 | 0.56× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 20:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=340) [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-anolis-field-tested) Hidden $5.09 8.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:53 UTC [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-anolis-field-tested) Hidden $5.09 8.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:53 UTC [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-anolis-field-tested) Hidden $5.09 8.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:53 UTC [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-anolis-field-tested) Hidden $5.09 8.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:53 UTC [M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) Hidden $5.09 8.02 HUNT\_COIN $54.65 86.08 HUNT\_COIN 10.73x 2026-11-11 10:53 UTC [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-anolis-field-tested) [Marius Tutunaru](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Marius%20Tutunaru) $5.09 8.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:53 UTC [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-anolis-field-tested) Hidden $5.09 8.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 19:21 UTC [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-anolis-field-tested) Hidden $5.09 8.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 19:21 UTC [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-anolis-field-tested) Hidden $5.09 8.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 19:21 UTC [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-anolis-field-tested) Hidden $5.09 8.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 19:21 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.09 | 87.32% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert knife 0.1% covert 6.0% other 90.0% consumer 4.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.32 on average: an expected loss of $12.68 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt