--- title: "Hunt case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Hunt ($5.09) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.32% from 7 items with odds, observed 78.81% over 386 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/341 rendered: 2026-11-11T20:44Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Hunt](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/341) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Hunt A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/341?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/341?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/341) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/341?window=all) Price · $5.09 · 8.02 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.32% · EV $4.45 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 78.81% · 386 openings, odds method Variance · 28.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 94.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 38.52% ±93.18 128 openings 30 days · 78.81% ±53.66 386 openings since tracking started · 78.81% ±53.66 386 openings -0.5% 215.5% 431.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/341?window=24h) | 6 | 0.25% ±430.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/341?window=7d) | 128 | 38.52% ±93.2 | −1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/341) | 386 | 78.81% ±53.7 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/341?window=all) | 386 | 78.81% ±53.7 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 386 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $2,546 4,010 HUNT\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,667 | $679 1,069 HUNT\_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,333 | $329 518 HUNT\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $140 221 HUNT\_COIN | 31.5% | 4 | 3.9 | 1.04× | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $54.65 86.08 HUNT\_COIN | 60.8% | 18 | 19.1 | 0.94× | | [Souvenir PP-Bizon \| Anolis (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-anolis-field-tested) | 90.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 344 | 347.4 | 0.99× | | [P90 \| Sand Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 20 | 15.4 | 1.30× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 20:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=341) [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-anolis-field-tested) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $5.09 8.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-anolis-field-tested) Hidden $5.09 8.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-anolis-field-tested) Hidden $5.09 8.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-anolis-field-tested) Hidden $5.09 8.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-anolis-field-tested) Hidden $5.09 8.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-anolis-field-tested) Hidden $5.09 8.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-anolis-field-tested) Hidden $5.09 8.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) Hidden $5.09 8.02 HUNT\_COIN $54.65 86.08 HUNT\_COIN 10.73x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-anolis-field-tested) Hidden $5.09 8.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-anolis-field-tested) Hidden $5.09 8.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.09 | 87.32% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert knife 0.1% covert 6.0% other 90.0% consumer 4.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.32 on average: an expected loss of $12.68 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt