---
title: "JABAKAUSKIS123 case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "JABAKAUSKIS123 ($38.60) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.38% from 15 items with odds, observed 15.63% over 71 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/349
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [JABAKAUSKIS123](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/349)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · JABAKAUSKIS123

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/349?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/349?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/349) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/349?window=all)

Price · $38.60 · 60.8 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 87.38% · EV $33.73 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 15.63% · 71 openings, odds method

Variance · 42.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 137 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 93.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 4 openings · below min

7 days · 47 openings · below min

30 days · 71 openings · below min

since tracking started · 71 openings · below min

-0.5% 321.0% 642.5%

**Small sample.** 71 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/349?window=24h) | 4 | 1.64% ±640.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/349?window=7d) | 47 | 1.64% ±186.8 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/349) | 71 | 15.63% ±152.0 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/349?window=all) | 71 | 15.63% ±152.0 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 71 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $11.9K 18,788 HUNT\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $6,389 10,062 HUNT\_COIN | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $4,333 6,825 HUNT\_COIN | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Wild Lily (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $3,611 5,687 HUNT\_COIN | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,708 4,266 HUNT\_COIN | 8.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $2,203 3,470 HUNT\_COIN | 9.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $1,543 2,430 HUNT\_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $1,048 1,651 HUNT\_COIN | 6.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $708 1,116 HUNT\_COIN | 5.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $550 866 HUNT\_COIN | 8.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife) | 1 in 133 | $417 656 HUNT\_COIN | 9.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $312 492 HUNT\_COIN | 9.3% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) | 1 in 100 | $219 345 HUNT\_COIN | 6.5% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $165 260 HUNT\_COIN | 9.8% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.70× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hybrid (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-battle-scarred) | 93.8% | $0.63 1 HUNT\_COIN | 1.8% | 69 | 66.6 | 1.04× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=349)

[Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-battle-scarred) Hidden $38.60 60.8 HUNT\_COIN $0.63 1 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 23:14 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-battle-scarred) Hidden $38.60 60.8 HUNT\_COIN $0.63 1 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 23:14 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-battle-scarred) Hidden $38.60 60.8 HUNT\_COIN $0.63 1 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 23:14 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-battle-scarred) [PeitschenMeister](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/PeitschenMeister) $38.60 60.8 HUNT\_COIN $0.63 1 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 23:14 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-battle-scarred) Hidden $38.60 60.8 HUNT\_COIN $0.63 1 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 17:15 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-battle-scarred) Hidden $38.60 60.8 HUNT\_COIN $0.63 1 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 17:15 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-battle-scarred) Hidden $38.60 60.8 HUNT\_COIN $0.63 1 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 17:15 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-battle-scarred) Hidden $38.60 60.8 HUNT\_COIN $0.63 1 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 17:15 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-battle-scarred) Hidden $38.60 60.8 HUNT\_COIN $0.63 1 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 17:15 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-battle-scarred) [Kirua](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Kirua) $38.60 60.8 HUNT\_COIN $0.63 1 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 17:15 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $38.60 | 87.38% | 15 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 2.3% legendary 0.2% classified 0.1% gold 0.2% other 1.5% Covert 2.0% violet 93.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.38 on average: an expected loss of $12.62 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt