--- title: "Poor To Rich case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Poor To Rich ($3.43) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.43% from 11 items with odds, observed 94.63% over 6 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/352 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:15Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Poor To Rich](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/352) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Poor To Rich A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/352?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/352?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/352) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/352?window=all) Price · $3.43 · 5.4 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.43% · EV $3.00 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.63% · 6 openings, odds method Variance · 3.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 123.3% 247.0% **Small sample.** 6 openings and 0.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/352?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/352?window=7d) | 6 | 94.63% ±151.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/352) | 6 | 94.63% ±151.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/352?window=all) | 6 | 94.63% ±151.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A1-S \| Glitched Paint (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $27.43 43.21 HUNT\_COIN | 18.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $23.49 36.99 HUNT\_COIN | 15.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $18.76 29.54 HUNT\_COIN | 18.8% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $15.37 24.21 HUNT\_COIN | 15.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $11.32 17.83 HUNT\_COIN | 7.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $9.31 14.67 HUNT\_COIN | 6.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $8.33 13.12 HUNT\_COIN | 8.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Duality (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-duality-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $6.01 9.47 HUNT\_COIN | 6.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Sticker \| Rush More sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rush-more) | 30.0% | $0.20 0.32 HUNT\_COIN | 2.0% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.11× | | [Sticker \| Cloud9 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9) | 20.0% | $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN | 0.8% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× | | [Sticker \| Fly High sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fly-high) | 30.0% | $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN | 1.0% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.11× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=352) [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-factory-new) Hidden $3.43 5.4 HUNT\_COIN $18.76 29.54 HUNT\_COIN 5.47x 2026-11-09 16:02 UTC [Sticker | Fly High sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fly-high) Hidden $3.43 5.4 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-09 16:02 UTC [Sticker | Cloud9 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9) Hidden $3.43 5.4 HUNT\_COIN $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-09 16:02 UTC [Sticker | Fly High sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fly-high) Hidden $3.43 5.4 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-09 16:02 UTC [Sticker | Rush More sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rush-more) Hidden $3.43 5.4 HUNT\_COIN $0.20 0.32 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-09 16:02 UTC [Sticker | Rush More sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rush-more) [Jakub Oplot](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Jakub%20Oplot) $3.43 5.4 HUNT\_COIN $0.20 0.32 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-09 16:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.43 | 87.43% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed violet 2.0% covert 4.0% classified 6.0% restricted 3.0% Legendary 2.0% pink 3.0% blue 30.0% other 20.0% #4b69ff 30.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.43 on average: an expected loss of $12.57 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt