--- title: "Hustle House Cheapy case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Hustle House Cheapy ($1.24) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.70% from 4 items with odds, observed 52.91% over 595 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/353 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Hustle House Cheapy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/353) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Hustle House Cheapy A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/353?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/353?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/353) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/353?window=all) Price · $1.24 · 1.95 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.70% · EV $1.10 from 4 items Observed RTP, 30d · 52.91% · 595 openings, odds method Variance · 425.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 263 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 26 openings · below min 7 days · 182 openings · below min 30 days · 595 openings · below min since tracking started · 595 openings · below min -0.5% 397.0% 794.5% **Small sample.** 595 openings and 2.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/353?window=24h) | 26 | 1.03% ±792.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/353?window=7d) | 182 | 1.03% ±299.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/353) | 595 | 52.91% ±165.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/353?window=all) | 595 | 52.91% ±165.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 605 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,014 3,172 HUNT\_COIN | 18.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) | 1 in 1,429 | $444 699 HUNT\_COIN | 28.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $191 301 HUNT\_COIN | 52.2% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.10× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) | 99.6% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 1.2% | 603 | 602.7 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $1.24 1.95 HUNT\_COIN $191 301 HUNT\_COIN 154.4x 2026-11-03 18:25 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $1.24 1.95 HUNT\_COIN $191 301 HUNT\_COIN 154.4x 2026-11-03 18:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=353) [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $1.24 1.95 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:24 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $1.24 1.95 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:24 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $1.24 1.95 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:24 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $1.24 1.95 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:24 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) [Macieja](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Macieja) $1.24 1.95 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:24 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $1.24 1.95 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:24 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $1.24 1.95 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:24 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $1.24 1.95 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:24 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $1.24 1.95 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:24 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) [Macieja](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Macieja) $1.24 1.95 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.24 | 88.70% | 4 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Covert 0.3% extraordinary 0.1% consumer 99.6% best hit $191 (154.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.70 on average: an expected loss of $11.30 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt