--- title: "Hustle House Luck case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Hustle House Luck ($17.54) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.70% from 6 items with odds, observed 237.85% over 6 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/354 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Hustle House Luck](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/354) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Hustle House Luck A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/354?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/354?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/354) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/354?window=all) Price · $17.54 · 27.62 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.70% · EV $15.55 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 237.85% · 6 openings, odds method Variance · 202.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 500 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 688.5% 1377.5% **Small sample.** 6 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/354?window=24h) | 6 | 237.85% ±1139.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/354?window=7d) | 6 | 237.85% ±1139.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/354) | 6 | 237.85% ±1139.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/354?window=all) | 6 | 237.85% ±1139.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $9,540 15,025 HUNT\_COIN | 30.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $4,507 7,098 HUNT\_COIN | 14.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,203 3,470 HUNT\_COIN | 14.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-kukri-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $639 1,006 HUNT\_COIN | 8.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $250 394 HUNT\_COIN | 32.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [MP9 \| Buff Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-field-tested) | 97.6% | $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 5 | 5.9 | 0.85× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=354) [MP9 | Buff Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-field-tested) Hidden $17.54 27.62 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:08 UTC [MP9 | Buff Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-field-tested) Hidden $17.54 27.62 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:08 UTC [MP9 | Buff Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-field-tested) Hidden $17.54 27.62 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:08 UTC [MP9 | Buff Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-field-tested) Hidden $17.54 27.62 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:08 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $17.54 27.62 HUNT\_COIN $250 394 HUNT\_COIN 14.26x 2026-11-10 19:08 UTC [MP9 | Buff Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-field-tested) [Macieja](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Macieja) $17.54 27.62 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $17.54 | 88.70% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.1% #ffd700 0.3% legendary 0.1% covert knife 2.0% gray 97.6% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.70 on average: an expected loss of $11.30 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt