--- title: "10% Juicy case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "10% Juicy ($18.79) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.38% from 11 items with odds, observed 56.42% over 256 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/355 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [10% Juicy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/355) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 10% Juicy A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/355?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/355?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/355) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/355?window=all) Price · $18.79 · 29.59 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.38% · EV $16.42 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 56.42% · 256 openings, odds method Variance · 43.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 111 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 82 openings · below min 30 days · 256 openings · below min since tracking started · 256 openings · below min -0.5% 112.3% 225.0% **Small sample.** 256 openings and 2.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/355?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/355?window=7d) | 82 | 81.65% ±142.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/355) | 256 | 56.42% ±80.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/355?window=all) | 256 | 56.42% ±80.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 256 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $2,846 4,482 HUNT\_COIN | 26.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $764 1,203 HUNT\_COIN | 11.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Bayonet knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet) | 1 in 400 | $463 729 HUNT\_COIN | 7.0% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $377 594 HUNT\_COIN | 5.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $263 414 HUNT\_COIN | 8.0% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $193 304 HUNT\_COIN | 8.8% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.56× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Orion (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-orion-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $137 216 HUNT\_COIN | 8.4% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.78× | | [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Snakebite (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $96.95 153 HUNT\_COIN | 11.8% | 9 | 5.1 | 1.76× | | [SCAR-20 \| Emerald (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-emerald-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $43.83 69.04 HUNT\_COIN | 8.0% | 9 | 7.7 | 1.17× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-factory-new) | 1 in 54 | $35.77 56.33 HUNT\_COIN | 4.0% | 3 | 4.7 | 0.63× | | [USP-S \| Desert Tactical (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical-battle-scarred) | 90.0% | $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN | 0.6% | 229 | 230.4 | 0.99× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=355) [StatTrak™ AWP | Atheris (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-factory-new) Hidden $18.79 29.59 HUNT\_COIN $35.77 56.33 HUNT\_COIN 1.90x 2026-11-08 03:22 UTC [USP-S | Desert Tactical (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.79 29.59 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 03:22 UTC [USP-S | Desert Tactical (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.79 29.59 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 03:22 UTC [USP-S | Desert Tactical (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.79 29.59 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 03:22 UTC [USP-S | Desert Tactical (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.79 29.59 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 03:22 UTC [USP-S | Desert Tactical (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical-battle-scarred) [Terracidre](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Terracidre) $18.79 29.59 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 03:22 UTC [USP-S | Desert Tactical (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.79 29.59 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 03:22 UTC [USP-S | Desert Tactical (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.79 29.59 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 03:22 UTC [SCAR-20 | Emerald (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-emerald-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.79 29.59 HUNT\_COIN $43.83 69.04 HUNT\_COIN 2.33x 2026-11-08 03:22 UTC [USP-S | Desert Tactical (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.79 29.59 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 03:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $18.79 | 87.38% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.9% extraordinary 2.3% classified 0.3% Covert 0.8% #d32ee6 1.0% restricted 4.9% blueLight 90.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.38 on average: an expected loss of $12.62 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt