--- title: "Perfect 50 50 case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Perfect 50 50 ($4.96) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.39% from 6 items with odds, observed 51.90% over 18 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/356 rendered: 2026-11-12T00:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Perfect 50 50](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/356) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Perfect 50 50 A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/356?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/356?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/356) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/356?window=all) Price · $4.96 · 7.81 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.39% · EV $4.33 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 51.90% · 18 openings, odds method Variance · 2.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 79.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 18 openings · below min 30 days · 18 openings · below min since tracking started · 18 openings · below min -0.5% 59.8% 120.0% **Small sample.** 18 openings and 3.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/356?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/356?window=7d) | 18 | 51.90% ±67.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/356) | 18 | 51.90% ±67.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/356?window=all) | 18 | 51.90% ±67.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 18 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $101 158 HUNT\_COIN | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $34.50 54.34 HUNT\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $19.91 31.36 HUNT\_COIN | 23.0% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 15.0% | $10.43 16.42 HUNT\_COIN | 36.1% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.11× | | [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-factory-new) | 29.5% | $4.76 7.5 HUNT\_COIN | 32.4% | 3 | 5.3 | 0.56× | | [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 50.0% | $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN | 0.7% | 12 | 9.0 | 1.33× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 20:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=356) [AK-47 | Safety Net (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-factory-new) Hidden $4.96 7.81 HUNT\_COIN $4.76 7.5 HUNT\_COIN 0.96x 2026-11-07 13:08 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.96 7.81 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 13:08 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.96 7.81 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 13:08 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.96 7.81 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 13:08 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.96 7.81 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 13:08 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) [son](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/son) $4.96 7.81 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 13:08 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.96 7.81 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 13:08 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.96 7.81 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 13:08 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.96 7.81 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 13:08 UTC [AK-47 | Safety Net (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-factory-new) Hidden $4.96 7.81 HUNT\_COIN $4.76 7.5 HUNT\_COIN 0.96x 2026-11-07 13:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $4.96 | 87.39% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 0.3% covert 0.3% blue 5.0% Classified 15.0% restricted 29.5% #87c7ff 50.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.39 on average: an expected loss of $12.61 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt