--- title: "5% Juicy case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "5% Juicy ($5.97) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.38% from 11 items with odds, observed 39.23% over 496 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/359 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [5% Juicy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/359) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 5% Juicy A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/359?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/359?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/359) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/359?window=all) Price · $5.97 · 9.41 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.38% · EV $5.22 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 39.23% · 496 openings, odds method Variance · 114.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 286 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 18 openings · below min 7 days · 244 openings · below min 30 days · 496 openings · below min since tracking started · 496 openings · below min -0.5% 247.8% 496.0% **Small sample.** 496 openings and 1.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/359?window=24h) | 18 | 0.21% ±495.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/359?window=7d) | 244 | 27.73% ±134.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/359) | 496 | 39.23% ±94.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/359?window=all) | 496 | 39.23% ±94.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 496 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,778 2,800 HUNT\_COIN | 34.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $770 1,213 HUNT\_COIN | 14.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $358 565 HUNT\_COIN | 10.3% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $184 290 HUNT\_COIN | 7.1% | 2 | 1.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Jungle Spray (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $111 175 HUNT\_COIN | 10.6% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.81× | | [Souvenir Sawed-Off \| Snake Camo (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-snake-camo-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $69.44 109 HUNT\_COIN | 6.7% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.81× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $46.88 73.83 HUNT\_COIN | 4.5% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $41.28 65.01 HUNT\_COIN | 4.0% | 5 | 2.5 | 2.02× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-phantom-disruptor-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $30.57 48.14 HUNT\_COIN | 2.9% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.21× | | [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $12.92 20.35 HUNT\_COIN | 5.0% | 10 | 9.9 | 1.01× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) | 95.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.2% | 472 | 471.0 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=359) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.97 9.41 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 05:35 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.97 9.41 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 05:35 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.97 9.41 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 05:35 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.97 9.41 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 05:35 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.97 9.41 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 05:35 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [lostinqreyy](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/lostinqreyy) $5.97 9.41 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 05:35 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.97 9.41 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 05:35 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.97 9.41 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 05:35 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.97 9.41 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 05:35 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.97 9.41 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 05:35 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.97 | 87.38% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.1% covert 1.0% industrial 0.5% Industrial Grade 0.5% classified 1.0% Ancient 2.0% consumer 95.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.38 on average: an expected loss of $12.62 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt