--- title: "Hustle House Crimson case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Hustle House Crimson ($3.12) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.56% from 10 items with odds, observed 32.88% over 259 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/368 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Hustle House Crimson](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/368) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Hustle House Crimson A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/368?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/368?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/368) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/368?window=all) Price · $3.12 · 4.92 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.56% · EV $2.77 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 32.88% · 259 openings, odds method Variance · 448.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 455 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 74 openings · below min 7 days · 259 openings · below min 30 days · 259 openings · below min since tracking started · 259 openings · below min -0.5% 241.5% 483.5% **Small sample.** 259 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/368?window=24h) | 74 | 0.41% ±482.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/368?window=7d) | 259 | 32.88% ±257.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/368) | 259 | 32.88% ±257.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/368?window=all) | 259 | 32.88% ±257.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 259 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $5,693 8,966 HUNT\_COIN | 20.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,944 3,062 HUNT\_COIN | 14.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $332 523 HUNT\_COIN | 6.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 1,429 | $303 478 HUNT\_COIN | 7.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 1,429 | $263 414 HUNT\_COIN | 6.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Night (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 556 | $247 389 HUNT\_COIN | 16.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $178 280 HUNT\_COIN | 12.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Survival Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500 | $120 189 HUNT\_COIN | 8.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Night (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-night-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $96.73 152 HUNT\_COIN | 7.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) | 99.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.5% | 258 | 256.4 | 1.01× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Flip Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) Hidden $3.12 4.92 HUNT\_COIN $263 414 HUNT\_COIN 84.12x 2026-11-08 01:31 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=368) [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $3.12 4.92 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $3.12 4.92 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $3.12 4.92 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) [Trevor Lett](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Trevor%20Lett) $3.12 4.92 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $3.12 4.92 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $3.12 4.92 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $3.12 4.92 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) [Trevor Lett](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Trevor%20Lett) $3.12 4.92 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $3.12 4.92 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $3.12 4.92 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.12 | 88.56% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.1% extraordinary 0.0% covert knife 0.3% Covert 0.2% #ffd700 0.2% rare 0.2% consumer 99.0% best hit $263 (84.12x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.56 on average: an expected loss of $11.44 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt