--- title: "Brandons 3% case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Brandons 3% ($8.34) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.36% from 9 items with odds, observed 1.75% over 15 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/369 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Brandons 3%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/369) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Brandons 3% A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/369?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/369?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/369) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/369?window=all) Price · $8.34 · 13.13 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.36% · EV $7.28 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 1.75% · 15 openings, odds method Variance · 29.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 67 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 15 openings · below min 30 days · 15 openings · below min since tracking started · 15 openings · below min -0.5% 138.5% 277.5% **Small sample.** 15 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/369?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/369?window=7d) | 15 | 1.75% ±275.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/369) | 15 | 1.75% ±275.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/369?window=all) | 15 | 1.75% ±275.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 15 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $550 866 HUNT\_COIN | 11.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $453 713 HUNT\_COIN | 12.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P90 \| Astral Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $411 647 HUNT\_COIN | 8.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $243 383 HUNT\_COIN | 16.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $242 381 HUNT\_COIN | 16.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chatterbox-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $231 364 HUNT\_COIN | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower) | 1 in 333 | $208 328 HUNT\_COIN | 8.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $128 202 HUNT\_COIN | 17.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) | 97.0% | $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN | 1.9% | 15 | 14.5 | 1.03× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=369) [Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $8.34 13.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 05:30 UTC [Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $8.34 13.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 05:30 UTC [Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $8.34 13.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 05:30 UTC [Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $8.34 13.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 05:30 UTC [Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) [Macieja](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Macieja) $8.34 13.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 05:30 UTC [Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $8.34 13.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 05:30 UTC [Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $8.34 13.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 05:30 UTC [Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $8.34 13.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 05:30 UTC [Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $8.34 13.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 05:30 UTC [Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) [Macieja](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Macieja) $8.34 13.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 05:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $8.34 | 87.36% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 0.5% restricted 0.4% covert 1.2% classified 1.0% #4b69ff 97.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.36 on average: an expected loss of $12.64 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt