--- title: "10% Awp case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "10% Awp ($13.56) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.96% from 11 items with odds, observed 82.88% over 1,748 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/37 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [10% Awp](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/37) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 10% Awp A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/37?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/37?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/37) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/37?window=all) Price · $13.56 · 21.35 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.96% · EV $11.79 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 82.88% · 1,748 openings, odds method Variance · 18.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 29 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 49.84% ±63.36 175 openings 7 days · 84.33% ±23.97 1,223 openings 30 days · 82.88% ±20.05 1,748 openings since tracking started · 82.88% ±20.05 1,748 openings -0.5% 56.8% 114.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/37?window=24h) | 175 | 49.84% ±63.4 | −1.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/37?window=7d) | 1,223 | 84.33% ±24.0 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/37) | 1,748 | 82.88% ±20.0 | −0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/37?window=all) | 1,748 | 82.88% ±20.0 | −0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,748 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) | 1 in 100,000 | $9,540 15,025 HUNT\_COIN | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50,000 | $5,555 8,749 HUNT\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $2,594 4,086 HUNT\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $866 1,365 HUNT\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-minimal-wear) | 1 in 163 | $300 472 HUNT\_COIN | 15.6% | 8 | 10.7 | 0.75× | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $136 214 HUNT\_COIN | 8.6% | 6 | 13.1 | 0.46× | | [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 133 | $135 213 HUNT\_COIN | 8.6% | 18 | 13.1 | 1.37× | | [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 80 | $128 202 HUNT\_COIN | 13.6% | 24 | 21.9 | 1.10× | | [AWP \| Crakow! (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-factory-new) | 1 in 80 | $123 193 HUNT\_COIN | 13.0% | 22 | 21.9 | 1.01× | | [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $77.64 122 HUNT\_COIN | 35.2% | 104 | 93.5 | 1.11× | | [AWP \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 90.0% | $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN | 0.6% | 1,566 | 1573.2 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=37) [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $13.56 21.35 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $13.56 21.35 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $13.56 21.35 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $13.56 21.35 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $13.56 21.35 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $13.56 21.35 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $13.56 21.35 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $13.56 21.35 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $13.56 21.35 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) [Hulk](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hulk) $13.56 21.35 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $13.56 | 86.96% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 7.5% classified 1.3% rare 1.3% industrial 90.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.96 on average: an expected loss of $13.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt