--- title: "3% creamer case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "3% creamer ($7.44) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.37% from 4 items with odds, observed 72.58% over 226 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/370 rendered: 2026-11-11T21:16Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [3% creamer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/370) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 3% creamer A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/370?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/370?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/370) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/370?window=all) Price · $7.44 · 11.72 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.37% · EV $6.50 from 4 items Observed RTP, 30d · 72.58% · 226 openings, odds method Variance · 28.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 220 openings · below min 30 days · 226 openings · below min since tracking started · 226 openings · below min 2.0% 74.0% 146.0% **Small sample.** 226 openings and 2.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/370?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/370?window=7d) | 220 | 74.53% ±71.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/370) | 226 | 72.58% ±70.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/370?window=all) | 226 | 72.58% ±70.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 226 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $339 534 HUNT\_COIN | 52.1% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.88× | | [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $193 304 HUNT\_COIN | 29.7% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× | | [AK-47 \| Jungle Spray (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $111 175 HUNT\_COIN | 17.1% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.33× | | [Sticker \| Baby Fire Serpent sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-fire-serpent) | 97.0% | $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN | 1.1% | 220 | 219.2 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 20:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=370) [Sticker | Baby Fire Serpent sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-fire-serpent) Hidden $7.44 11.72 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 18:44 UTC [Sticker | Baby Fire Serpent sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-fire-serpent) Hidden $7.44 11.72 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 18:44 UTC [Sticker | Baby Fire Serpent sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-fire-serpent) Hidden $7.44 11.72 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 18:44 UTC [Sticker | Baby Fire Serpent sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-fire-serpent) Hidden $7.44 11.72 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 18:44 UTC [Sticker | Baby Fire Serpent sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-fire-serpent) [Macieja](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Macieja) $7.44 11.72 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 18:44 UTC [Sticker | Baby Fire Serpent sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-fire-serpent) Hidden $7.44 11.72 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 18:44 UTC [Sticker | Baby Fire Serpent sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-fire-serpent) Hidden $7.44 11.72 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 18:44 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $7.44 11.72 HUNT\_COIN $339 534 HUNT\_COIN 45.54x 2026-11-10 18:44 UTC [Sticker | Baby Fire Serpent sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-fire-serpent) Hidden $7.44 11.72 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 18:44 UTC [Sticker | Baby Fire Serpent sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-fire-serpent) [Macieja](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Macieja) $7.44 11.72 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 18:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $7.44 | 87.37% | 4 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.0% red 1.0% industrial 1.0% Rare 97.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.37 on average: an expected loss of $12.63 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt