--- title: "its always juice case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "its always juice ($15.62) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.65% from 14 items with odds, observed 94.59% over 32 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/377 rendered: 2026-11-13T06:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [its always juice](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/377) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · its always juice A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/377?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/377?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/377) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/377?window=all) Price · $15.62 · 24.6 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.65% · EV $13.85 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.59% · 32 openings, sample method Variance · 6.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 82.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 16 openings · below min 30 days · 32 openings · below min since tracking started · 32 openings · below min -0.5% 121.3% 243.0% **Small sample.** 32 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/377?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/377?window=7d) | 16 | 96.37% ±146.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/377) | 32 | 94.59% ±90.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/377?window=all) | 32 | 94.59% ±90.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 32 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $190 300 HUNT\_COIN | 13.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $188 295 HUNT\_COIN | 13.5% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $188 295 HUNT\_COIN | 13.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald Quartz (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $186 292 HUNT\_COIN | 13.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Souvenir Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-tec-9-nuclear-threat-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $123 194 HUNT\_COIN | 8.9% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| In Living Color (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-in-living-color-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $83.05 131 HUNT\_COIN | 6.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [M4A4 \| Jungle Tiger (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $82.97 131 HUNT\_COIN | 12.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [SSG 08 \| Red Stone (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-red-stone-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $18.06 28.45 HUNT\_COIN | 6.5% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.88× | | [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Well-Worn) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $17.05 26.86 HUNT\_COIN | 6.2% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.63× | | [M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $9.52 15 HUNT\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× | | [Sticker \| Battle Scarred (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-battle-scarred-holo) | 1 in 20 | $7.49 11.79 HUNT\_COIN | 2.7% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.63× | | [Sticker \| Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) | 20.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 4 | 6.4 | 0.63× | | [Sticker \| OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) | 30.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 6 | 9.6 | 0.63× | | [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) | 22.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 14 | 7.0 | 1.99× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 12 Nov, 19:46 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=377) [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $15.62 24.6 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:00 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $15.62 24.6 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:00 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $15.62 24.6 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:00 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) [Terracidre](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Terracidre) $15.62 24.6 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:00 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $15.62 24.6 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 18:29 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $15.62 24.6 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 18:29 UTC [SSG 08 | Red Stone (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-red-stone-factory-new) Hidden $15.62 24.6 HUNT\_COIN $18.06 28.45 HUNT\_COIN 1.16x 2026-11-06 18:29 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $15.62 24.6 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 18:29 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $15.62 24.6 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 18:29 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) [Diisel](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Diisel) $15.62 24.6 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 18:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 12 Nov, 19:46 UTC | $15.62 | 88.65% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 7.0% classified 1.0% mil spec 1.0% restricted 1.0% Covert 6.0% industrial 2.0% consumer 5.0% Mythical 5.0% other 72.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.65 on average: an expected loss of $11.35 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt