--- title: "pls open this v3 case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "pls open this v3 ($67.31) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.38% from 12 items with odds, observed 76.67% over 6 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/381 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [pls open this v3](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/381) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · pls open this v3 A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/381?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/381?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/381) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/381?window=all) Price · $67.31 · 106 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.38% · EV $58.82 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 76.67% · 6 openings, odds method Variance · 4.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 82.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 121.5% 243.5% **Small sample.** 6 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/381?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/381?window=7d) | 6 | 76.67% ±166.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/381) | 6 | 76.67% ±166.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/381?window=all) | 6 | 76.67% ±166.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $770 1,213 HUNT\_COIN | 13.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $764 1,203 HUNT\_COIN | 13.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-kukri-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $639 1,006 HUNT\_COIN | 10.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $324 511 HUNT\_COIN | 11.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $229 361 HUNT\_COIN | 11.7% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [Souvenir P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p250-nuclear-threat-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $208 328 HUNT\_COIN | 10.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Hot Snakes (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-hot-snakes-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $193 304 HUNT\_COIN | 9.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bullet-queen-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $136 214 HUNT\_COIN | 9.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Flux (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-flux-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $64.65 102 HUNT\_COIN | 5.5% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [P2000 \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $31.87 50.2 HUNT\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [AK-47 \| Baroque Purple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $15.82 24.91 HUNT\_COIN | 1.9% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) | 64.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 3 | 3.8 | 0.78× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=381) [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $67.31 106 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 19:01 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $67.31 106 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 19:01 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $67.31 106 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 19:01 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $67.31 106 HUNT\_COIN $229 361 HUNT\_COIN 3.40x 2026-11-07 19:01 UTC [AK-47 | Baroque Purple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-factory-new) Hidden $67.31 106 HUNT\_COIN $15.82 24.91 HUNT\_COIN 0.23x 2026-11-07 19:01 UTC [StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-flux-factory-new) [Karl Ess](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Karl%20Ess) $67.31 106 HUNT\_COIN $64.65 102 HUNT\_COIN 0.96x 2026-11-07 19:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $67.31 | 87.38% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 5.0% epic 1.0% #ffd700 1.0% extraordinary 2.0% covert knife 3.0% Restricted 3.0% classified 8.0% mil spec 6.0% industrial 7.0% Consumer Grade 64.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.38 on average: an expected loss of $12.62 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt