--- title: "Hustle House 2% case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Hustle House 2% ($5.07) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.55% from 6 items with odds, observed 62.84% over 116 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/386 rendered: 2026-11-11T23:19Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Hustle House 2%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/386) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Hustle House 2% A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/386?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/386?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/386) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/386?window=all) Price · $5.07 · 7.98 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.55% · EV $4.54 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 62.84% · 116 openings, odds method Variance · 67.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 42 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 15 openings · below min 7 days · 104 openings · below min 30 days · 116 openings · below min since tracking started · 116 openings · below min -0.5% 208.5% 417.5% **Small sample.** 116 openings and 2.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/386?window=24h) | 15 | 0.25% ±416.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/386?window=7d) | 104 | 70.07% ±158.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/386) | 116 | 62.84% ±149.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/386?window=all) | 116 | 62.84% ±149.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 116 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,194 1,881 HUNT\_COIN | 13.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $827 1,303 HUNT\_COIN | 9.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $492 775 HUNT\_COIN | 10.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $285 448 HUNT\_COIN | 12.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $123 193 HUNT\_COIN | 54.1% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.29× | | [Souvenir P90 \| Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-ancient-earth-minimal-wear) | 97.6% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 113 | 113.2 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 20:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=386) [Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-ancient-earth-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.07 7.98 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:24 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-ancient-earth-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.07 7.98 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:24 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-ancient-earth-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.07 7.98 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:24 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-ancient-earth-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.07 7.98 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:24 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-ancient-earth-minimal-wear) [Macieja](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Macieja) $5.07 7.98 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:24 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-ancient-earth-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.07 7.98 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:24 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-ancient-earth-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.07 7.98 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:24 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-ancient-earth-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.07 7.98 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:24 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-ancient-earth-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.07 7.98 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:24 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-ancient-earth-minimal-wear) [Macieja](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Macieja) $5.07 7.98 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.07 | 89.55% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert knife 2.1% covert 0.1% Covert 0.2% Common 97.6% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.55 on average: an expected loss of $10.45 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt