--- title: "20SIGA case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "20SIGA ($8.43) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.41% from 14 items with odds, observed 89.11% over 24 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/393 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:34Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [20SIGA](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/393) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 20SIGA A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/393?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/393?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/393) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/393?window=all) Price · $8.43 · 13.28 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.41% · EV $7.37 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.11% · 24 openings, odds method Variance · 1.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 14.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 24 openings · below min 30 days · 24 openings · below min since tracking started · 24 openings · below min 37.5% 89.0% 140.5% **Small sample.** 24 openings and 3.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/393?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/393?window=7d) | 24 | 89.11% ±50.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/393) | 24 | 89.11% ±50.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/393?window=all) | 24 | 89.11% ±50.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 24 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Gut Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife) | 1 in 10,000 | $139 219 HUNT\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $112 176 HUNT\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-damascus-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,667 | $86.53 136 HUNT\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Victoria (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-victoria-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $35.35 55.68 HUNT\_COIN | 9.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-the-battlestar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $32.43 51.08 HUNT\_COIN | 17.6% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [MP7 \| Skulls (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-skulls-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $27.78 43.76 HUNT\_COIN | 11.3% | 3 | 0.7 | — | | [P2000 \| Pathfinder (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pathfinder-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $22.36 35.22 HUNT\_COIN | 15.2% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-naga-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $17.99 28.34 HUNT\_COIN | 12.2% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.50× | | [AK-47 \| Baroque Purple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $15.82 24.91 HUNT\_COIN | 10.7% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.67× | | [Tec-9 \| Brass (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $13.47 21.22 HUNT\_COIN | 9.1% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [Souvenir SG 553 \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sg-553-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $8.05 12.68 HUNT\_COIN | 5.5% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Steel Disruption (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-steel-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $6.88 10.83 HUNT\_COIN | 5.5% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [M4A4 \| Steel Work (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-steel-work-battle-scarred) | 30.0% | $0.32 0.51 HUNT\_COIN | 1.3% | 6 | 7.2 | 0.83× | | [Nova \| Caged Steel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-caged-steel-field-tested) | 30.0% | $0.15 0.24 HUNT\_COIN | 0.6% | 9 | 7.2 | 1.25× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=393) [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-naga-factory-new) Hidden $8.43 13.28 HUNT\_COIN $17.99 28.34 HUNT\_COIN 2.13x 2026-11-06 03:46 UTC [MP7 | Skulls (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-skulls-minimal-wear) Hidden $8.43 13.28 HUNT\_COIN $27.78 43.76 HUNT\_COIN 3.30x 2026-11-06 03:46 UTC [Nova | Caged Steel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-caged-steel-field-tested) Hidden $8.43 13.28 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.24 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-06 03:46 UTC [M4A4 | Steel Work (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-steel-work-battle-scarred) Hidden $8.43 13.28 HUNT\_COIN $0.32 0.51 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-06 03:46 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-naga-factory-new) Hidden $8.43 13.28 HUNT\_COIN $17.99 28.34 HUNT\_COIN 2.13x 2026-11-06 03:46 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-naga-factory-new) [MrPotatoHeadTheOG](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/MrPotatoHeadTheOG) $8.43 13.28 HUNT\_COIN $17.99 28.34 HUNT\_COIN 2.13x 2026-11-06 03:46 UTC [AK-47 | Baroque Purple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-factory-new) Hidden $8.43 13.28 HUNT\_COIN $15.82 24.91 HUNT\_COIN 1.88x 2026-11-06 03:43 UTC [AK-47 | Baroque Purple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-factory-new) Hidden $8.43 13.28 HUNT\_COIN $15.82 24.91 HUNT\_COIN 1.88x 2026-11-06 03:43 UTC [Nova | Caged Steel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-caged-steel-field-tested) Hidden $8.43 13.28 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.24 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-06 03:43 UTC [Nova | Caged Steel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-caged-steel-field-tested) Hidden $8.43 13.28 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.24 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-06 03:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $8.43 | 87.41% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 4.0% covert knife 0.1% #eb4b4b 2.0% blue 3.0% industrial 40.0% restricted 5.0% mil spec 5.0% Mil Spec Grade 5.0% milspec 5.9% #5e98d9 30.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.41 on average: an expected loss of $12.59 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt