---
title: "Hustle House Butterfly Mix on Hunt.gg: odds & RTP"
description: "Hustle House Butterfly Mix ($20.76) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.54% from 13 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/396
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:15Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Hustle House Butterfly Mix](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/396)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Hustle House Butterfly Mix

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/396?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/396?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/396) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/396?window=all)

Price · $20.76 · 32.7 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 89.54% · EV $18.59 from 13 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 73.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 200 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 97.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/396?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/396?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/396) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/396?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,597 4,091 HUNT\_COIN | 14.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,299 3,621 HUNT\_COIN | 12.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,179 3,432 HUNT\_COIN | 11.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,976 3,112 HUNT\_COIN | 10.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,701 2,679 HUNT\_COIN | 9.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,670 2,630 HUNT\_COIN | 9.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,361 2,144 HUNT\_COIN | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,229 1,936 HUNT\_COIN | 6.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $971 1,529 HUNT\_COIN | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $961 1,514 HUNT\_COIN | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) | 1 in 250 | $285 448 HUNT\_COIN | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $45.83 72.19 HUNT\_COIN | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) | 97.6% | $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=396)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $20.76 | 89.54% | 13 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.4% gold 0.4% covert knife 0.2% other 98.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.54 on average: an expected loss of $10.46 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt