--- title: "5profit case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "5profit ($2.51) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.36% from 13 items with odds, observed 51.11% over 397 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/403 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [5profit](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/403) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 5profit A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/403?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/403?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/403) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/403?window=all) Price · $2.51 · 3.96 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.36% · EV $2.20 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 51.11% · 397 openings, odds method Variance · 68.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 200 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 39 openings · below min 7 days · 337 openings · below min 30 days · 397 openings · below min since tracking started · 397 openings · below min -0.5% 143.3% 287.0% **Small sample.** 397 openings and 2.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/403?window=24h) | 39 | 27.00% ±259.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/403?window=7d) | 337 | 58.07% ±88.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/403) | 397 | 51.11% ±81.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/403?window=all) | 397 | 51.11% ±81.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 397 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Containment Breach (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $285 448 HUNT\_COIN | 13.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) | 1 in 1,000 | $285 448 HUNT\_COIN | 13.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $285 448 HUNT\_COIN | 13.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $238 375 HUNT\_COIN | 10.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $236 372 HUNT\_COIN | 10.7% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $236 372 HUNT\_COIN | 10.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $106 167 HUNT\_COIN | 4.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $86.92 137 HUNT\_COIN | 4.0% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $46.95 73.94 HUNT\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-the-battlestar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $32.43 51.08 HUNT\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [M4A4 \| Jungle Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $8.70 13.71 HUNT\_COIN | 7.9% | 7 | 7.9 | 0.88× | | [Glock-18 \| Reactor (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $8.67 13.66 HUNT\_COIN | 7.9% | 14 | 7.9 | 1.76× | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) | 95.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.5% | 374 | 377.1 | 0.99× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-factory-new) Hidden $2.51 3.96 HUNT\_COIN $236 372 HUNT\_COIN 93.91x 2026-11-09 22:08 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=403) [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) [Marius Tutunaru](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Marius%20Tutunaru) $2.51 3.96 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC [Glock-18 | Reactor (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.51 3.96 HUNT\_COIN $8.67 13.66 HUNT\_COIN 3.45x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $2.51 3.96 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $2.51 3.96 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $2.51 3.96 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) [Marius Tutunaru](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Marius%20Tutunaru) $2.51 3.96 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $2.51 3.96 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $2.51 3.96 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $2.51 3.96 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC [Glock-18 | Reactor (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.51 3.96 HUNT\_COIN $8.67 13.66 HUNT\_COIN 3.45x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.51 | 87.36% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Ancient 0.1% other 0.1% Covert 0.1% extraordinary 0.1% covert 0.3% covert knife 0.1% classified 0.1% restricted 0.1% industrial 2.0% mil spec 2.0% Consumer Grade 95.0% best hit $236 (93.91x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.36 on average: an expected loss of $12.64 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt