--- title: "flippper case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "flippper ($0.03) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.85% from 8 items with odds, observed 87.44% over 16.2K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/406 rendered: 2026-11-11T12:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [flippper](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/406) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · flippper A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/406?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/406?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/406) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/406?window=all) Price · $0.03 · 0.05 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 83.85% · EV $0.03 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.44% · 16.2K openings, odds method Variance · 30.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 89.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 67.51% ±29.09 1,360 openings 7 days · 87.74% ±9.47 12.8K openings 30 days · 87.44% ±8.43 16.2K openings since tracking started · 87.44% ±8.43 16.2K openings 38.0% 68.0% 98.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/406?window=24h) | 1,360 | 67.51% ±29.1 | −1.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/406?window=7d) | 12.8K | 87.74% ±9.47 | +0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/406) | 16.2K | 87.44% ±8.43 | +0.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/406?window=all) | 16.2K | 87.44% ±8.43 | +0.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16.2K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-factory-new) | 1 in 111,111 | $33.89 53.38 HUNT\_COIN | 1.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,989 | $7.47 11.77 HUNT\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× | | [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 417 | $2.39 3.77 HUNT\_COIN | 21.6% | 41 | 38.9 | 1.05× | | [Glock-18 \| Catacombs (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-catacombs-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $0.69 1.09 HUNT\_COIN | 6.5% | 35 | 40.5 | 0.86× | | [USP-S \| Desert Tactical (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN | 3.8% | 138 | 162.1 | 0.85× | | [Zeus x27 \| Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN | 17.2% | 1,499 | 1458.8 | 1.03× | | [Sawed-Off \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN | 9.1% | 1,530 | 1539.9 | 0.99× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) | 80.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 38.2% | 12,965 | 12967.2 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=406) [Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) [Cago](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Cago) $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.80x 2026-11-11 12:29 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) [OstKroken46](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/OstKroken46) $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-11 12:29 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) [sergej stokurev](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/sergej%20stokurev) $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-11 11:58 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) [sergej stokurev](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/sergej%20stokurev) $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-11 11:58 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) [sergej stokurev](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/sergej%20stokurev) $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-11 11:58 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) [sergej stokurev](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/sergej%20stokurev) $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-11 11:58 UTC [Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-field-tested) [sergej stokurev](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/sergej%20stokurev) $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 1.60x 2026-11-11 11:58 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) [Cago](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Cago) $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-11 11:52 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) [.skins.army.#maldgg](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/.skins.army.%23maldgg) $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-11 11:14 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) [IVaaaannn](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/IVaaaannn) $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-11 10:52 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.03 | 83.85% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed industrial 0.0% Legendary 0.0% restricted 0.2% Mil Spec 0.3% blueLight 1.0% Common 9.0% consumer 89.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.85 on average: an expected loss of $16.15 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt