--- title: "novaisj case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "novaisj ($693.68) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 93.63% over 36 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/407 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [novaisj](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/407) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · novaisj A case on Hunt.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/407?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/407?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/407) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/407?window=all) Price · $693.68 · 1,093 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 93.63% · 36 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 36 openings · below min 30 days · 36 openings · below min since tracking started · 36 openings · below min 33.5% 93.5% 153.5% **Small sample.** 36 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/407?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/407?window=7d) | 36 | 93.63% ±59.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/407) | 36 | 93.63% ±59.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/407?window=all) | 36 | 93.63% ±59.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hunt.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [MP9 | Wild Lily (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-factory-new) Hidden $694 1,093 HUNT\_COIN $3,333 5,250 HUNT\_COIN 4.81x 2026-11-05 20:22 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) Hidden $694 1,093 HUNT\_COIN $3,333 5,250 HUNT\_COIN 4.81x 2026-11-05 01:08 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower) [DameTime](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DameTime) $694 1,093 HUNT\_COIN $3,318 5,225 HUNT\_COIN 4.78x 2026-11-05 01:08 UTC [MP9 | Wild Lily (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-field-tested) Hidden $694 1,093 HUNT\_COIN $3,194 5,031 HUNT\_COIN 4.61x 2026-11-05 20:41 UTC [Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-holo) [DameTime](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DameTime) $694 1,093 HUNT\_COIN $3,125 4,922 HUNT\_COIN 4.50x 2026-11-05 20:36 UTC [★ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $694 1,093 HUNT\_COIN $3,056 4,812 HUNT\_COIN 4.40x 2026-11-05 20:22 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-minimal-wear) Hidden $694 1,093 HUNT\_COIN $2,875 4,528 HUNT\_COIN 4.14x 2026-11-05 20:29 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=407) [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-royal-paladin-well-worn) Hidden $694 1,093 HUNT\_COIN $39.58 62.34 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-05 20:41 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-eye-of-athena-factory-new) Hidden $694 1,093 HUNT\_COIN $39.58 62.34 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-05 20:41 UTC [MP9 | Wild Lily (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-field-tested) Hidden $694 1,093 HUNT\_COIN $3,194 5,031 HUNT\_COIN 4.61x 2026-11-05 20:41 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-royal-paladin-well-worn) Hidden $694 1,093 HUNT\_COIN $39.58 62.34 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-05 20:41 UTC [M4A4 | The Emperor (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-minimal-wear) Hidden $694 1,093 HUNT\_COIN $39.58 62.34 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-05 20:41 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-eye-of-athena-factory-new) [DameTime](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DameTime) $694 1,093 HUNT\_COIN $39.58 62.34 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-05 20:41 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-royal-paladin-well-worn) Hidden $694 1,093 HUNT\_COIN $39.58 62.34 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-05 20:36 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-eye-of-athena-factory-new) Hidden $694 1,093 HUNT\_COIN $39.58 62.34 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-05 20:36 UTC [M4A4 | The Emperor (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-minimal-wear) Hidden $694 1,093 HUNT\_COIN $39.58 62.34 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-05 20:36 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-royal-paladin-well-worn) Hidden $694 1,093 HUNT\_COIN $39.58 62.34 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-05 20:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $3,333 (4.81x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.63 on average: an expected loss of $6.37 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt