--- title: "z00t 5% case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "z00t 5% ($86.45) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.91% from 9 items with odds, observed 41.23% over 12 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/410 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [z00t 5%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/410) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · z00t 5% A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/410?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/410?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/410) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/410?window=all) Price · $86.45 · 136 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.91% · EV $77.73 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 41.23% · 12 openings, odds method Variance · 51.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min -0.5% 224.0% 448.5% **Small sample.** 12 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/410?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/410?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/410) | 12 | 41.23% ±406.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/410?window=all) | 12 | 41.23% ±406.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $48.6K 76,561 HUNT\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $17.1K 26,979 HUNT\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 526 | $10.1K 15,944 HUNT\_COIN | 24.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $5,401 8,507 HUNT\_COIN | 20.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $2,736 4,309 HUNT\_COIN | 17.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $1,361 2,144 HUNT\_COIN | 13.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 80 | $625 984 HUNT\_COIN | 10.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $428 674 HUNT\_COIN | 11.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) | 95.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 11 | 11.4 | 0.96× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=410) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $86.45 | 89.91% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 2.0% legendary 0.2% covert 2.1% covert knife 0.8% Consumer Grade 95.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.91 on average: an expected loss of $10.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. 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