--- title: "IRBITskya case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "IRBITskya ($17.97) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.69% from 6 items with odds, observed 19.07% over 47 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/423 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [IRBITskya](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/423) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · IRBITskya A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/423?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/423?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/423) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/423?window=all) Price · $17.97 · 28.31 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.69% · EV $15.94 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 19.07% · 47 openings, sample method Variance · 341.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 99 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 17 openings · below min 30 days · 47 openings · below min since tracking started · 47 openings · below min -0.5% 16.0% 32.5% **Small sample.** 47 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/423?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/423?window=7d) | 17 | 4.29% ±8.28 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/423) | 47 | 19.07% ±12.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/423?window=all) | 47 | 19.07% ±12.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 47 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo) | 1 in 10,000 | $31.9K 50,312 HUNT\_COIN | 20.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $926 1,458 HUNT\_COIN | 58.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Needle Point (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-needle-point-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $84.03 132 HUNT\_COIN | 5.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $44.44 70 HUNT\_COIN | 2.8% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-battle-scarred) | 17.0% | $12.91 20.34 HUNT\_COIN | 13.8% | 9 | 8.0 | 1.13× | | [Souvenir P90 \| Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-ancient-earth-minimal-wear) | 80.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 37 | 37.6 | 0.98× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=423) [Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-ancient-earth-minimal-wear) Hidden $17.97 28.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 10:06 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-ancient-earth-minimal-wear) Hidden $17.97 28.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 10:06 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-ancient-earth-minimal-wear) Hidden $17.97 28.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 10:06 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-ancient-earth-minimal-wear) Hidden $17.97 28.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 10:06 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-ancient-earth-minimal-wear) [Macieja](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Macieja) $17.97 28.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 10:06 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-ancient-earth-minimal-wear) Hidden $17.97 28.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 01:09 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-ancient-earth-minimal-wear) Hidden $17.97 28.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 01:09 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-ancient-earth-minimal-wear) Hidden $17.97 28.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 01:09 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-ancient-earth-minimal-wear) Hidden $17.97 28.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 01:09 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-ancient-earth-minimal-wear) Hidden $17.97 28.31 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 01:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 10 Nov, 14:05 UTC | $17.97 | 88.69% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 0.0% #EB4B4B 1.0% extraordinary 1.0% restricted 1.0% #d32ce6 17.0% Common 80.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.69 on average: an expected loss of $11.31 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt