--- title: "40%DDPAT case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "40%DDPAT ($5.55) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.72% from 6 items with odds, observed 89.61% over 28 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/430 rendered: 2026-11-12T00:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [40%DDPAT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/430) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 40%DDPAT A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/430?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/430?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/430) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/430?window=all) Price · $5.55 · 8.74 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.72% · EV $4.92 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.61% · 28 openings, odds method Variance · 1.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 28 openings · below min 30 days · 28 openings · below min since tracking started · 28 openings · below min 41.5% 89.8% 138.0% **Small sample.** 28 openings and 5.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/430?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/430?window=7d) | 28 | 89.61% ±47.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/430) | 28 | 89.61% ±47.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/430?window=all) | 28 | 89.61% ±47.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 28 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pink-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $19.03 29.98 HUNT\_COIN | 38.7% | 5 | 2.8 | 1.79× | | [USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-purple-ddpat-field-tested) | 10.0% | $17.40 27.41 HUNT\_COIN | 35.3% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.36× | | [Souvenir M4A4 \| Red DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-red-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $8.06 12.7 HUNT\_COIN | 16.4% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.36× | | [Souvenir USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-purple-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $4.50 7.09 HUNT\_COIN | 9.1% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.43× | | [Zeus x27 \| Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-field-tested) | 30.0% | $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 6 | 8.4 | 0.71× | | [Sawed-Off \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 30.0% | $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN | 0.2% | 11 | 8.4 | 1.31× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 20:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=430) [Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.55 8.74 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:00 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pink-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.55 8.74 HUNT\_COIN $19.03 29.98 HUNT\_COIN 3.43x 2026-11-09 23:00 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pink-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.55 8.74 HUNT\_COIN $19.03 29.98 HUNT\_COIN 3.43x 2026-11-09 23:00 UTC [Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) [Terracidre](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Terracidre) $5.55 8.74 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:00 UTC [Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $5.55 8.74 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 01:52 UTC [Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.55 8.74 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 01:52 UTC [Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $5.55 8.74 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 01:52 UTC [Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.55 8.74 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 01:52 UTC [Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $5.55 8.74 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 01:52 UTC [Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-red-ddpat-battle-scarred) [MrPotatoHeadTheOG](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/MrPotatoHeadTheOG) $5.55 8.74 HUNT\_COIN $8.06 12.7 HUNT\_COIN 1.45x 2026-11-08 01:52 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.55 | 88.72% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #8847FF 10.0% blue 10.0% Restricted 10.0% Mil Spec Grade 10.0% Common 30.0% consumer 30.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.72 on average: an expected loss of $11.28 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt