--- title: "Hustle House Cracks case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Hustle House Cracks ($21.58) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.35% from 11 items with odds, observed 29.56% over 238 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/439 rendered: 2026-11-12T01:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Hustle House Cracks](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/439) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Hustle House Cracks A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/439?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/439?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/439) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/439?window=all) Price · $21.58 · 33.99 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.35% · EV $18.85 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 29.56% · 238 openings, odds method Variance · 100.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 46 openings · below min 30 days · 238 openings · below min since tracking started · 238 openings · below min -0.5% 153.0% 306.5% **Small sample.** 238 openings and 2.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/439?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/439?window=7d) | 46 | 16.40% ±289.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/439) | 238 | 29.56% ±127.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/439?window=all) | 238 | 29.56% ±127.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 238 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $48.6K 76,561 HUNT\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $10.1K 15,944 HUNT\_COIN | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $3,681 5,797 HUNT\_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,429 | $2,250 3,544 HUNT\_COIN | 8.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $1,264 1,991 HUNT\_COIN | 10.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $694 1,094 HUNT\_COIN | 9.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $550 866 HUNT\_COIN | 14.6% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.84× | | [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 133 | $353 555 HUNT\_COIN | 14.0% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 80 | $222 350 HUNT\_COIN | 14.7% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× | | [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $147 231 HUNT\_COIN | 15.5% | 3 | 4.8 | 0.63× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-battle-scarred) | 95.0% | $0.36 0.57 HUNT\_COIN | 1.8% | 232 | 226.1 | 1.03× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 20:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $21.58 33.99 HUNT\_COIN $550 866 HUNT\_COIN 25.49x 2026-11-04 08:03 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=439) [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-battle-scarred) Hidden $21.58 33.99 HUNT\_COIN $0.36 0.57 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-battle-scarred) Hidden $21.58 33.99 HUNT\_COIN $0.36 0.57 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-battle-scarred) Hidden $21.58 33.99 HUNT\_COIN $0.36 0.57 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-battle-scarred) Hidden $21.58 33.99 HUNT\_COIN $0.36 0.57 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [M4A4 | The Emperor (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-factory-new) Hidden $21.58 33.99 HUNT\_COIN $147 231 HUNT\_COIN 6.79x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-battle-scarred) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $21.58 33.99 HUNT\_COIN $0.36 0.57 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-battle-scarred) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $21.58 33.99 HUNT\_COIN $0.36 0.57 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-battle-scarred) Hidden $21.58 33.99 HUNT\_COIN $0.36 0.57 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-battle-scarred) Hidden $21.58 33.99 HUNT\_COIN $0.36 0.57 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-battle-scarred) Hidden $21.58 33.99 HUNT\_COIN $0.36 0.57 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $21.58 | 87.35% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.0% legendary 0.0% Covert 0.1% covert 3.4% epic 0.3% other 0.5% covert knife 0.8% #8847ff 95.0% best hit $550 (25.49x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.35 on average: an expected loss of $12.65 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt