--- title: "Hustle House Crack Spam case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Hustle House Crack Spam ($11.77) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.36% from 8 items with odds, observed 17.87% over 168 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/441 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Hustle House Crack Spam](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/441) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Hustle House Crack Spam A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/441?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/441?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/441) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/441?window=all) Price · $11.77 · 18.54 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.36% · EV $10.28 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 17.87% · 168 openings, odds method Variance · 205.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 250 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 98.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 168 openings · below min 30 days · 168 openings · below min since tracking started · 168 openings · below min -0.5% 117.3% 235.0% **Small sample.** 168 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/441?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/441?window=7d) | 168 | 17.87% ±216.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/441) | 168 | 17.87% ±216.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/441?window=all) | 168 | 17.87% ±216.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 168 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $12.8K 20,125 HUNT\_COIN | 12.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $4,035 6,354 HUNT\_COIN | 11.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,667 | $2,028 3,194 HUNT\_COIN | 11.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,389 2,187 HUNT\_COIN | 13.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $849 1,338 HUNT\_COIN | 16.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 286 | $492 775 HUNT\_COIN | 16.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $351 553 HUNT\_COIN | 17.1% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) | 98.8% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 167 | 165.9 | 1.01× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=441) [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $11.77 18.54 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:39 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $11.77 18.54 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:39 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $11.77 18.54 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:39 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $11.77 18.54 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:39 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $11.77 18.54 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:39 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) [Kirua](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Kirua) $11.77 18.54 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:39 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $11.77 18.54 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 10:10 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $11.77 18.54 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 10:10 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $11.77 18.54 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 10:10 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $11.77 18.54 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 10:10 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $11.77 | 87.36% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.4% epic 0.0% covert knife 0.1% sunny 0.2% classified 0.5% other 98.8% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.36 on average: an expected loss of $12.64 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt