--- title: "Cracks no hitter case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Cracks no hitter ($2.80) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.45% from 3 items with odds, observed 0.45% over 30 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/442 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Cracks no hitter](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/442) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Cracks no hitter A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/442?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/442?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/442) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/442?window=all) Price · $2.80 · 4.41 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.45% · EV $2.45 from 3 items Observed RTP, 30d · 0.45% · 30 openings, odds method Variance · 5565.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 5,000 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 100.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 30 openings · below min 30 days · 30 openings · below min since tracking started · 30 openings · below min -0.5% 1335.0% 2670.5% **Small sample.** 30 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/442?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/442?window=7d) | 30 | 0.45% ±2669.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/442) | 30 | 0.45% ±2669.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/442?window=all) | 30 | 0.45% ±2669.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 3 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 30 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $48.6K 76,561 HUNT\_COIN | 19.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $10.3K 16,163 HUNT\_COIN | 79.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) | 100.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.5% | 30 | 30.0 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=442) [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) [POSK](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/POSK) $2.80 4.41 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:03 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $2.80 4.41 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:03 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $2.80 4.41 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:03 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $2.80 4.41 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:03 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $2.80 4.41 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:03 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $2.80 4.41 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:03 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $2.80 4.41 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 18:21 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $2.80 4.41 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 18:21 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $2.80 4.41 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 18:21 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $2.80 4.41 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 18:21 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.80 | 87.45% | 3 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.0% contraband 0.0% consumer 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.45 on average: an expected loss of $12.55 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt