--- title: "Hustle House Cracks Hit or poor on Hunt.gg: odds & RTP" description: "Hustle House Cracks Hit or poor ($3.36) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.31% from 7 items with odds, observed 0.38% over 70 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/443 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Hustle House Cracks Hit or poor](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/443) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Hustle House Cracks Hit or poor A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/443?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/443?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/443) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/443?window=all) Price · $3.36 · 5.29 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.31% · EV $2.93 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 0.38% · 70 openings, odds method Variance · 442.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 1,000 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 70 openings · below min 30 days · 70 openings · below min since tracking started · 70 openings · below min -0.5% 246.5% 493.5% **Small sample.** 70 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/443?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/443?window=7d) | 70 | 0.38% ±492.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/443) | 70 | 0.38% ±492.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/443?window=all) | 70 | 0.38% ±492.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 70 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $6,389 10,062 HUNT\_COIN | 10.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-battle-scarred) | 1 in 9,091 | $3,653 5,753 HUNT\_COIN | 13.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,941 | $1,292 2,034 HUNT\_COIN | 15.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $708 1,116 HUNT\_COIN | 12.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $550 866 HUNT\_COIN | 18.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-well-worn) | 1 in 500 | $428 674 HUNT\_COIN | 29.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) | 99.6% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.4% | 70 | 69.7 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=443) [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $3.36 5.29 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 14:03 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $3.36 5.29 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 14:03 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $3.36 5.29 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 14:03 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $3.36 5.29 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 14:03 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $3.36 5.29 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 14:03 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) [d1sab1ed](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/d1sab1ed) $3.36 5.29 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 14:03 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $3.36 5.29 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 14:03 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $3.36 5.29 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 14:03 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $3.36 5.29 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 14:03 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $3.36 5.29 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 14:03 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.36 | 87.31% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.0% extraordinary 0.2% covert 0.1% other 99.7% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.31 on average: an expected loss of $12.69 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt